Ambac Financial Group Forecast and Stock Analysis
Technical AMBC stock analysis for February 21, 2019.
Ambac Financial Group fell by -1.14% in the last day from $20.10 to $19.87 The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 3.81% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell in the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. In the last day the trading volume fell by -136 339 shares and in total 98 274 shares bought and sold for approximately $1.95 million.
Close price at the end of the last trading day (Thursday, 21st Feb 2019) of the AMBC stock was $19.87. This is 1.14% less than the trading day before Wednesday, 20th Feb 2019.
During day the stock fluctuated 1.82% from a day low at $19.79 to a day high of $20.15.
30 day high of the AMBC stock price was $20.20 and low was $18.09.
90 day high was $20.20 and low was $15.02.
52 week high for the Ambac Financial Group - $23.34 and low - $13.96.
Ambac Financial Group lies in the middle of a wide and strong rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 20.65% during the next 3 months and, with 90% probability hold a price between $21.57 and $25.37 at the end of this period.
Ambac Financial Group holds buy signals from both short- and long-term moving averages. In addition, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down there will be some support from the lines at $19.63 and $18.83. A break down below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sales signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday February 20, 2019, which indicates further falls until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
RSI14 is 69 and the stock is currently not being overbought or oversold
Support & Resistance
On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $16.85 and $16.12.
There is natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Ambac Financial Group finds support just below today's level at $16.85. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $16.12 and $15.69.
This stock is usually traded at good volume, and with minor daily changes the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the stock moved $0.36 (1.82%) between high and low. For the last week, the stock has had a daily average volatility of 2.36%.
Our recommended stoploss: $19.00 (-4.35%) (This stock has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a sell signal from pivot top found 1 days ago.)
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Evaluation: Buy Candidate
Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for this stock to perform well in the short-term. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our recommendation for this stock since last evaluation from a Strong Buy Candidate to a Buy Candidate.