Weaker Buy Today AMPH ranks #270 as BUY CANDIDATE #270 Stronger Buy

AMPH stock forecast Amphastar Pharmaceuticals

AMPH stock forecast

Tuesday September 17, 2019 Change -0.32% Price $21.74

Explanation to Bollinger's Bands

Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, which purpose is to provide a relative definition of high and low. This defintion is used to identify buy and sell signals and have proven very well in doing so.

Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. Get-A-Graph uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.

Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation

BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.

BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)

Live Samples:

Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicates a upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line, or continuously movements above the moving average line indicates a break up, and vice versa downwards.

Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com

AMPH Forecast and Technical Stock Analysis


Buy candidate since 2019-09-13 Gain 1.02% PDF

Amphastar Pharmaceuticals fell by -0.32% in the last day ( Tuesday, 17th Sep 2019 ) from $21.81 to $21.74 During the day the stock fluctuated 1.99% from a day low at $21.58 to a day high of $22.01. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -0.96% for this period. Volume fell in the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. In the last day the trading volume fell by -71 523 shares and in total 176 851 shares bought and sold for approximately $3.84 million.

Quick summary:

  • 30 day high of the AMPH stock price was $22.85 and low was $20.80.
  • 90 day high was $22.85 and low was $18.66.
  • 52 week high for Amphastar Pharmaceuticals - $25.43 and low - $17.71.
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Trend

Amphastar Pharmaceuticals lies in the middle of a wide and weak rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 8.6% during the next 3 months and, with 90% probability hold a price between $21.97 and $25.13 at the end of this period.

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Signals

Amphastar Pharmaceuticals holds buy signals from both short- and long-term moving averages. In addition, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down there will be some support from the lines at $21.73 and $21.32. A break down below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Friday September 13, 2019, which indicates further gains until a new top pivot has been found. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.

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A buy signal from a double bottom formation was found on Monday September 09, 2019 with a target of $21.52. Despite the objective of the signal formation has been reached the stock may continue to perform well.

Relative Strength Index (RSI)

RSImin/max Values: [ 25 - 75 ]

RSI14 is 49 and the stock is currently not being overbought or oversold

* Stockinvest.us uses dynamical calculated RSI max/min levels to determine when stock is oversold or overbought based on historical behaviour.

Support & Resistance

Amphastar Pharmaceuticals finds support from accumulated volume at $21.72.

Support: $21.72 Price: $21.74 Resistance: $21.95

Risk

This stock is usually traded at a good volume, and with minor daily changes, the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the stock moved $0.43 (1.99%) between high and low. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.78%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $20.46 (-5.87%) (This stock has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a buy signal from pivot bottom found 2 days ago.)

2.78 %

Average volatility

Overall risk:

Very Low Low Medium High Very High

Buy Candidate Downgraded

Evaluation

Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for this stock to perform well in the short-term. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our recommendation for this stock since last evaluation from a Strong Buy Candidate to a Buy Candidate.

Weaker Buy Today AMPH ranks #270 as BUY CANDIDATE #270 Stronger Buy
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