Amyris Forecast and Stock Analysis
Technical AMRS stock analysis for April 24, 2019.
Amyris fell by -0.59% in the last day from $5.12 to $5.09 The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 43.38% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased in the last day by 2.02 million shares, but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly for the next couple of days. In total, 5.15 million shares bought and sold for approximately $26.23 million.
Close price at the end of the last trading day (Wednesday, 24th Apr 2019) of the AMRS stock was $5.09. This is 0.59% less than the trading day before Tuesday, 23rd Apr 2019.
During day the stock fluctuated 14.77% from a day low at $5.01 to a day high of $5.75.
30 day high of the AMRS stock price was $5.75 and low was $1.87.
90 day high was $6.06 and low was $1.87.
52 week high for the Amyris - $9.29 and low - $1.87.
Amyris lies the upper part of a very wide and falling trend in the short term, and this will normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break up at the top trend line at $5.10 will firstly indicate a slower falling rate, but may be the first sign of a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -17.26% during the next 3 months and, with 90% probability hold a price between $1.27 and $4.22 at the end of this period.
Amyris holds buy signals from both short- and long-term moving averages. In addition, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down there will be some support from the lines at $4.53 and $3.46. A break down below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sales signal was issued from a pivot top point on Tuesday April 23, 2019, which indicates further falls until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The stock holds a RSI14 at 77 and is currently being overbought on RSI. This does not have to be a sales signal as many stocks may go both long and hard while being overbought on the RSI. It is therefore important to evaluate the history of the share as it may tell you something about the RSI-sensitiveness.
Support & Resistance
Amyris finds support from accumulated volume at $5.02.
This stock may move much during a day (volatility) and with a large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the stock moved $0.74 between high and low, or 14.77%. For the last week, the stock has had a daily average volatility of 15.06%.
The stock is overbought on RSI14 and lies in the upper part of the trend. Normally this will pose a good selling opportunity for the short-term trader, but some stocks may go long and hard while being overbought. Regardless, the high RSI together with the trend position increases the risk and higher daily movements (volatility) should be expected. A correction down in the nearby future seems very likely and it is of great importance that the stock manages to break the trend before that occurs.
Our recommended stoploss: $4.95 (-2.68%) (This stock has very high daily movements and this gives very high risk. The RSI14 is 77 and this increases the risk substantially. There is a sell signal from pivot top found 1 days ago.)
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Amyris holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy-recommendation. At the current level we recommend to hold or accumulate in this position whilst awaiting for further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our recommendation for this stock since last evaluation from a Buy Candidate to a Hold/Accumulate.
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|AMRS $5.09 ($-0.03 -0.59%)|
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