Air Products and Chemicals Inc Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Red day on Monday for Air Products and Chemicals Inc
(Updated on Apr 15, 2024)
The Air Products and Chemicals Inc stock price fell by -0.160% on the last day (Monday, 15th Apr 2024) from $231.53 to $231.16. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.99% from a day low at $229.66 to a day high of $234.23. The price has fallen in 7 of the last 10 days and is down by -5.04% for this period. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -206 thousand shares and in total, 1 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $265.42 million.
The stock lies in the middle of a wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -5.46% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $193.80 and $229.28 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
APD Signals & Forecast
There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The Air Products and Chemicals Inc stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $235.83 and $239.18. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, March 11, 2024, and so far it has fallen -6.77%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Air Products and Chemicals Inc stock
On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $218.05 and $218.02. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Air Products and Chemicals Inc finds support just below today's level at $218.05. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $218.02 and $215.38.
In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the stock moved $4.57 between high and low, or 1.99%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.49%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (APD) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 16th
For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 16th we expect Air Products and Chemicals Inc to open at $231.68, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $226.99 and $235.33, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$4.17 (+/-1.80%) up or down from last closing price. If Air Products and Chemicals Inc takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.61% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $238.95 (3.37%) than the support at $218.05 (5.67%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Air Products and Chemicals Inc stock A Buy?
Air Products and Chemicals Inc holds several negative signals and is within a wide and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock.
Current score: -2.554 Sell Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for Air Products and Chemicals Inc of Tuesday, April 16, 2024
| Fair opening price April 16, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $231.68 ( 0.226%) | $231.16 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for APD
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 236.25 | 2.20 % | |
| R2 | 234.51 | 1.45 % | ||
| R1 | 233.43 | 0.98 % | ||
| Current price: | 231.16 | |||
| Support | S1 | 229.94 | -0.529 % | |
| S2 | 228.86 | -1.00 % | ||
| S3 | 227.11 | -1.75 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 243.10 | 5.17 % | |
| R2 | 239.58 | 3.64 % | ||
| R1 | 238.95 | 3.37 % | ||
| Current price | 231.16 | |||
| Support | S1 | 218.05 | -5.67% | |
| S2 | 218.02 | -5.68% | ||
| S3 | 215.38 | -6.83% |
APD Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jan 25, 2024 | Apr 01, 2024 | May 13, 2024 | $1.77 | 0.766% |
| 2 | Jan 25, 2024 | Mar 28, 2024 | May 13, 2024 | $1.77 | 0.766% |
| 3 | Dec 29, 2023 | Dec 29, 2023 | Feb 12, 2024 | $1.75 | 0.786% |
| 4 | Jul 21, 2023 | Sep 29, 2023 | Nov 13, 2023 | $1.75 | 0.660% |
| 5 | May 18, 2023 | Jun 30, 2023 | Nov 13, 2023 | $1.75 | 0.660% |
FAQ
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