American Public Education Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
American Public Education stock upgraded from Sell Candidate to Hold/Accumulate after Wednesday trading session.
(Updated on Apr 17, 2024)
The American Public Education stock price fell by -0.398% on the last day (Wednesday, 17th Apr 2024) from $12.57 to $12.52. It has now fallen 6 days in a row. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 3.08% from a day low at $12.49 to a day high of $12.87. The price has fallen in 9 of the last 10 days and is down by -11.89% for this period. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -15 thousand shares and in total, 64 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $799.00 thousand.
The stock lies in the lower part of a very wide and strong rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $12.00 is broken, it will firstly indicate a slower rate of rising, but may also be an early warning for a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 20.79% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $14.50 and $20.45 at the end of this 3-month period.
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APEI Signals & Forecast
There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The American Public Education stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $12.85 and $13.02. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, March 06, 2024, and so far it has fallen -19.59%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell along with the price during the last trading day, which is technical positive. One should, however, note that this stock may have low liquidity in periods, which increases the general risk.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for American Public Education stock
American Public Education finds support from accumulated volume at $12.33 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day, but be aware of low or falling volume as this increases the risk. During the last day, the stock moved $0.385 between high and low, or 3.08%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 3.57%.
American Public Education is oversold on RSI14 (11). Some stocks may fall long and hard while being oversold on RSI, but stocks that are heavily oversold on RSI often pose good re-bounce chance and played well it can be a buy candidate.
Our recommended stop-loss: $11.67 (-6.78%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. Low RSI14 is 11 which reduces the risk some. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 29 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (APEI) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Thursday 18th
For the upcoming trading day on Thursday, 18th we expect American Public Education to open at $12.63, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $11.81 and $13.23, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.714 (+/-5.70%) up or down from last closing price. If American Public Education takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 11.41% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $12.33 (1.56%) than the resistance at $13.63 (8.87%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is American Public Education stock A Buy?
American Public Education holds several negative signals and this should be a sell candidate, but due to the general chance for a turnaround situation it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: -0.764 Hold/Accumulate Upgraded
Predicted Opening Price for American Public Education of Thursday, April 18, 2024
| Fair opening price April 18, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $12.63 ( 0.84%) | $12.52 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for APEI
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 13.01 | 3.91 % | |
| R2 | 12.86 | 2.74 % | ||
| R1 | 12.77 | 2.01 % | ||
| Current price: | 12.52 | |||
| Support | S1 | 12.48 | -0.336 % | |
| S2 | 12.39 | -1.06 % | ||
| S3 | 12.24 | -2.24 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 15.57 | 24.36 % | |
| R2 | 13.94 | 11.34 % | ||
| R1 | 13.63 | 8.87 % | ||
| Current price | 12.52 | |||
| Support | S1 | 12.33 | -1.56% | |
| S2 | 11.50 | -8.15% | ||
| S3 | 11.15 | -10.94% |
FAQ
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