Ares Capital Corporation Forecast and Stock Analysis
Technical ARCC stock analysis for February 21, 2019.
Ares Capital Corporation gained 0.70% in the last trading day, rising from $17.22 to $17.34 , and has now gained 3 days in a row. It will be exciting to see whether it manages to continue gaining or take a minor break for the next few days. The price has risen in 8 of the last 10 days and is up by 4.21% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased in the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 0.08 million more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 1.96 million shares bought and sold for approximately $33.91 million.
Close price at the end of the last trading day (Thursday, 21st Feb 2019) of the ARCC stock was $17.34. This is 0.7% more than the trading day before Wednesday, 20th Feb 2019.
During day the stock fluctuated 1.22% from a day low at $17.16 to a day high of $17.37.
30 day high of the ARCC stock price was $17.37 and low was $15.82.
90 day high was $17.37 and low was $14.50.
52 week high for the Ares Capital Corporation - $17.63 and low - $14.50.
Ares Capital Corporation lies in the upper part of a wide and weak rising trend in the short term, and this will normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break-up at the top trend line at $17.65 will firstly indicate a stronger raising rate. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 2.6% during the next 3 months and, with 90% probability hold a price between $15.40 and $18.11 at the end of this period.
Only positive signals in the chart today. Ares Capital Corporation holds buy signals from both short- and long-term moving averages. In addition, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down there will be some support from the lines at $17.17 and $16.40. A break down below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Wednesday January 23, 2019, which indicates further gains until a new top pivot has been found. Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
RSI14 is 90 and the stock is extremely overbought on RSI14, but may also ontinue to gain. Some stocks see their best performance while being overbought, but very seldom does RSI remain so high for a long time without short corrections. Risk has therefore increased and larger daily movements can be expected for the next couple of days.
Support & Resistance
On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $16.30 and $15.58.
There is natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Ares Capital Corporation finds support just below today's level at $16.30. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $15.58 and $15.42.
This stock is usually traded at good volume, and with minor daily changes the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the stock moved $0.21 (1.22%) between high and low. For the last week, the stock has had a daily average volatility of 1.04%.
The stock is overbought on RSI14 and lies in the upper part of the trend. Normally this will pose a good selling opportunity for the short-term trader, but some stocks may go long and hard while being overbought. Regardless, the high RSI together with the trend position increases the risk and higher daily movements (volatility) should be expected. A correction down in the nearby future seems very likely and it is of great importance that the stock manages to break the trend before that occurs.
Our recommended stoploss: $16.39 (-5.50%) (This stock has low daily movements and this gives low risk. The RSI14 is 90 and this increases the risk substantially. There is a buy signal from pivot bottom found 20 days ago.)
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Evaluation: Buy Candidate
Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for this stock to perform well in the short-term.