Thu 19'th Oct 2017
Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Stock Analysis
Technical stock analysis for Thu 19'th Oct 2017
Hold candidate since 2017-10-18 Gain 0.16%
Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance lies in the middle of a narrow and weak rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 2.06% during the next 3 months and, with 90% probability hold a price between $18.29 and $19.17 at the end of this period.
Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance holds buy signals from both short- and long-term moving averages. In addition, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down there will be some support from the lines at $18.36 and $18.18. A break down below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sales signal was issued from a pivot top point on Tuesday October 17, 2017, which indicates further falls until a new bottom pivot has been found.
* Golden Star Signal* is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and priceline meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the stock in question.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The stock holds a RSI14 at 76 and is currently being overbought on RSI. This does not have to be a sales signal as many stocks may go both long and hard while being overbought on the RSI. It is therefore important to evaluate the history of the share as it may tell you something about the RSI-sensitiveness.
Support & Resistance
Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance finds support from accumulated volume at $18.18. On the upside the stock meets some resistance just above today's level from accumulated volume at $18.47, $18.57 and $18.69.
The stock is about to test the resistance from accumulated volume at $18.47 and this may cause the stock to take a minor break or get into a more sideways move for a few days.
This stock is usually traded at good volume, and with minor daily changes the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the stock moved $0.15 (0.82%) between high and low. For the last week, the stock has had a daily average volatility of 0.62%.
Our recommended stoploss: $17.84 (-3.09%) (This stock has low daily movements and this gives low risk. The RSI14 is 76 and this increases the risk substantially. There is a sell signal from pivot top found 2 days ago.)
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Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy-recommendation. At the current level we recommend to hold or accumulate in this position whilst awaiting for further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our recommendation for this stock since last evaluation from a Buy Candidate to a Hold/Accumulate.
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