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ARI - Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance

Industry: REIT - Diversified Sector: Financial | Exchange: NYSE

Sell Candidate
Buy Score Rank #2380 out of #5176
Fri 18'th Aug 2017

PERIOD COVERED
2017-05-19 - 2017-08-18
CHANGE
0.06%
PRICE
$17.92
VOLUME
Sell
TREND
Sell

MV LONG
Sell

MV SHORT
Sell

PIVOT
Buy

MACD
Buy

BOLLINGER
Sell
Request Prediction
0.00%

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Stock Analysis

Technical stock analysis for Fri 18'th Aug 2017

Sell candidate since 2017-08-14 Loss -1.70%

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance gained 0.06% in the last trading day, rising from $17.91 to $17.92 The price has fallen in 5 of the last 10 days and is down by -0.5% for this period. Volume fell in the last day by -0.15 million shares, and in total, 1.41 million shares bought and sold for approximately $25.18 million. You should take into consideration that a falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes for the next couple of days.

Trend

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance lies in the middle of a falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -4.82% during the next 3 months and, with 90% probability hold a price between $16.68 and $17.71 at the end of this period.

Signals

A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Thursday August 17, 2017, which indicates further gains until a new top pivot has been found. Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance holds sales signals from both short- and long-term moving averages. In addition, there is a general sales signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up there will be some resistance from the lines at $18.04 and $18.16. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals.

The stock had a Golden Star Signal* on Wednesday October 12, 2016 in the mediumterm chart.

* Golden Star Signal* is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and priceline meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the stock in question.
A buy signal from a double bottom formation was found on Thursday August 17, 2017 and based on theory for this formation the price should go up by 0.16% to $18.14 within 4 trading days since signal was issued (Wednesday August 23, 2017).

Relative Strength Index (RSI)

RSI14 is 46 and the stock is currently not being overbought or oversold

Support & Resistance

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance finds support from accumulated volume at $17.91. On the upside the stock meets some resistance just above today's level from accumulated volume at $18.46, $18.52 and $18.97.

The stock is about to test the resistance from accumulated volume at $18.46 and this may cause the stock to take a minor break or get into a more sideways move for a few days.

Support: $17.91 Price: $17.92 Resistance: $18.46
S: $17.91 Price: $17.92 R: $18.46

Risk

This stock is usually traded at good volume, and with minor daily changes the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the stock moved $0.16 (0.90%) between high and low. For the last week, the stock has had a daily average volatility of 1.08%.

Our recommended stoploss: We hold a sell evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss set.

Overall risk:

Very Low Low Medium High Very High

Overall risk:

           

Evaluation

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance holds several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock.

Sell Candidate

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