Arrow Financial Corporation Forecast and Stock Analysis
Technical AROW stock analysis for February 15, 2019.
Arrow Financial Corporation gained 1.88% in the last trading day, rising from $34.63 to $35.28 The price has risen in 8 of the last 10 days and is up by 8.29% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased in the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 10 852 more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 27 086 shares bought and sold for approximately $955 594.00.
Close price at the end of the last trading day (Friday, 15th Feb 2019) of the AROW stock was $35.28. This is 1.88% more than the trading day before Thursday, 14th Feb 2019.
During day the stock fluctuated 2.65% from a day low at $34.75 to a day high of $35.67.
30 day high of the AROW stock price was $35.67 and low was $30.46.
90 day high was $36.00 and low was $30.45.
52 week high for the Arrow Financial Corporation - $40.15 and low - $30.45.
Arrow Financial Corporation has broken the wide and horizontal trend up. Breaks like this are often followed by swift and strong movements, and any correction down to the breakline at approximately. $34.93 is considered to be a "second chance" to hit a potential runner. It is, however, important that volume does follow the price as false breaks may appear and it may move back into the horizontal trend. Based on the rectangle-formation theory the stock is predicted to reach $39.12 sometime during the next 3 months.
Only positive signals in the chart today. Arrow Financial Corporation holds buy signals from both short- and long-term moving averages. In addition, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down there will be some support from the lines at $34.68 and $33.10. A break down below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Tuesday January 29, 2019, which indicates further gains until a new top pivot has been found. Arrow Financial Corporation has rising volume and follows the last lift in the price. This is considered to be a technical positive sign as volume should follow the price-formation. Higher liquidity also reduces the general risk.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The stock holds a RSI14 at 82 and is currently being overbought on RSI. This does not have to be a sales signal as many stocks may go both long and hard while being overbought on the RSI. It is therefore important to evaluate the history of the share as it may tell you something about the RSI-sensitiveness.
Support & Resistance
On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $32.53 and $31.85.
There is natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Arrow Financial Corporation finds support just below today's level at $32.53. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $31.85 and $31.26.
This stock may move much during a day (volatility) and with a large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the stock moved $0.92 between high and low, or 2.65%. For the last week, the stock has had a daily average volatility of 2.26%.
The stock is extremely overbought on RSI14 (82). Normally this will pose a good selling opportunity, but since the stock has broken the trend up the chance for a major correction due to high RSI is very small as the stock will find support at the trend broken.
Our recommended stoploss: $33.84 (-4.08%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. The RSI14 is 82 and this increases the risk substantially. There is a buy signal from pivot bottom found 13 days ago.)
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Evaluation: Buy Candidate
Several short-term signals are positive and the stock has broken the horizontal trend up, which indicates an even stronger rising rate. We conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for this stock to perform well in the short-term period. We have upgraded our recommendation for this stock since last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Buy Candidate.