Air Transport Services Group Stock Forecast
Air Transport Services Group stock downgraded to Sell Candidate
(Updated on Apr 23, 2024)
The Air Transport Services Group stock price fell by -1.01% on the last day (Tuesday, 23rd Apr 2024) from $12.83 to $12.70. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.78% from a day low at $12.60 to a day high of $12.95. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -3.5% loss for the last 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -50 thousand shares and in total, 310 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $3.93 million.
The stock lies in the middle of a very wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -18.47% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $8.58 and $11.19 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
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ATSG Signals & Forecast
A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Monday, March 18, 2024, and so far it has risen 7.81%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Air Transport Services Group stock holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the stock giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $12.83. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the short-term average at $12.60. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Air Transport Services Group stock
Air Transport Services Group finds support from accumulated volume at $12.19 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $0.350 between high and low, or 2.78%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 3.11%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (ATSG) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 24th
For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 24th we expect Air Transport Services Group to open at $12.75, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $12.21 and $13.19, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.493 (+/-3.88%) up or down from last closing price. If Air Transport Services Group takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 7.76% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $12.82 (0.94%) than the support at $12.19 (4.02%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Air Transport Services Group stock A Buy?
Air Transport Services Group holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Sell candidate.
Current score: -2.546 Sell Candidate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Air Transport Services Group of Wednesday, April 24, 2024
| Fair opening price April 24, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $12.75 ( 0.394%) | $12.70 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for ATSG
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 13.10 | 3.15 % | |
| R2 | 12.97 | 2.10 % | ||
| R1 | 12.88 | 1.45 % | ||
| Current price: | 12.70 | |||
| Support | S1 | 12.62 | -0.659 % | |
| S2 | 12.53 | -1.31 % | ||
| S3 | 12.40 | -2.36 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 13.37 | 5.28 % | |
| R2 | 13.15 | 3.54 % | ||
| R1 | 12.82 | 0.94 % | ||
| Current price | 12.70 | |||
| Support | S1 | 12.19 | -4.02% | |
| S2 | 12.12 | -4.57% | ||
| S3 | 12.11 | -4.65% |
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