Vanguard Total International Bond ETF Forecast
Vanguard Total International Bond ETF downgraded to Sell Candidate
(Updated on Apr 24, 2024)
The Vanguard Total International Bond ETF price fell by -0.432% on the last day (Wednesday, 24th Apr 2024) from $48.58 to $48.37. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 0.207% from a day low at $48.34 to a day high of $48.44. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -0.74% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 809 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 3 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $149.85 million.
Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect Vanguard Total International Bond ETF with a 90% probability to be traded between $48.38 and $49.25 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and ETFS seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. ETFS turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.
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BNDX Signals & Forecast
There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The Vanguard Total International Bond ETF holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $48.56 and $48.87. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, March 27, 2024, and so far it has fallen -1.77%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the ETF should be followed more closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Vanguard Total International Bond ETF
There is no support from accumulated volume below today's level and given the right condition the ETF may perform very badly in the next couple of days.
In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.1000 between high and low, or 0.207%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 0.219%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (BNDX) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Thursday 25th
For the upcoming trading day on Thursday, 25th we expect Vanguard Total International Bond ETF to open at $48.38, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $48.21 and $48.53, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.163 (+/-0.34%) up or down from last closing price. If Vanguard Total International Bond ETF takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 0.67% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
With no support below and resistance from accumulated volume @ $48.49, some $0.115 (0.24%) from the current price of $48.37, our system finds the risk reward not very attractive.
Is Vanguard Total International Bond ETF ETF A Buy?
Vanguard Total International Bond holds several negative signals and is within a narrow and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this ETF. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Sell candidate.
Current score: -2.716 Sell Candidate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Vanguard Total International Bond ETF of Thursday, April 25, 2024
| Fair opening price April 25, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $48.38 ( 0.0276%) | $48.37 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for BNDX
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 48.48 | 0.234 % | |
| R2 | 48.45 | 0.155 % | ||
| R1 | 48.42 | 0.107 % | ||
| Current price: | 48.37 | |||
| Support | S1 | 48.35 | -0.0514 % | |
| S2 | 48.32 | -0.100 % | ||
| S3 | 48.28 | -0.179 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 48.68 | 0.641 % | |
| R2 | 48.60 | 0.476 % | ||
| R1 | 48.49 | 0.238 % | ||
| Current price | 48.37 | |||
| Support | S1 | 0 | . | |
| S2 | 0 | . | ||
| S3 | 0 | . |
BNDX Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mar 27, 2024 | Apr 01, 2024 | Apr 04, 2024 | $0.0913 | 0.186% |
| 2 | Feb 28, 2024 | Mar 01, 2024 | Mar 06, 2024 | $0.0851 | 0.174% |
| 3 | Jan 30, 2024 | Feb 01, 2024 | Feb 06, 2024 | $0.0859 | 0.176% |
| 4 | Dec 20, 2023 | Dec 22, 2023 | Dec 28, 2023 | $1.36 | 2.74% |
| 5 | Nov 29, 2023 | Dec 01, 2023 | Dec 06, 2023 | $0.0873 | 0.175% |
FAQ
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