Vanguard Total International Bond ETF Forecast
Vanguard Total International Bond ETF price ended at $48.59 on Friday, after gaining 0.103%.
(Updated on Apr 19, 2024)
The Vanguard Total International Bond ETF price gained 0.103% on the last trading day (Friday, 19th Apr 2024), rising from $48.54 to $48.59. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 0.165% from a day low at $48.54 to a day high of $48.62. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -0.69% for this period. Volume fell on the last day by -383 thousand shares and in total, 2 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $93.20 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The ETF is at the lower part of a narrow and horizontal trend in the short term, and normally this may pose a good buying opportunity, though a breakdown through the bottom trend line at $48.54 will give a strong sell signal and a trend shift may be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect Vanguard Total International Bond ETF with a 90% probability to be traded between $48.66 and $49.39 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and ETFS seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. ETFS turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.
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BNDX Signals & Forecast
A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Thursday, April 18, 2024, and so far it has risen 0.103%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The ETF should be watched closely. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Vanguard Total International Bond ETF holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $48.65 and $48.89. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD).
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Vanguard Total International Bond ETF
Vanguard Total International Bond finds support from accumulated volume at $48.55 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.0800 between high and low, or 0.165%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 0.220%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $45.85 (-5.64%) (This ETF has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 1 day ago.)
Trading Expectations (BNDX) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 22nd
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 22nd we expect Vanguard Total International Bond ETF to open at $48.58, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $48.43 and $48.75, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.163 (+/-0.33%) up or down from last closing price. If Vanguard Total International Bond ETF takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 0.67% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $48.60 (0.02%) than the support at $48.55 (0.08%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Vanguard Total International Bond ETF ETF A Buy?
Vanguard Total International Bond holds several negative signals and this should be a sell candidate, but due to the general chance for a turnaround situation it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development.
Current score: 0.710 Hold/Accumulate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for Vanguard Total International Bond ETF of Monday, April 22, 2024
| Fair opening price April 22, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $48.58 ( 0.0137%) | $48.59 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for BNDX
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 48.66 | 0.151 % | |
| R2 | 48.63 | 0.0880 % | ||
| R1 | 48.61 | 0.0492 % | ||
| Current price: | 48.59 | |||
| Support | S1 | 48.55 | -0.0766 % | |
| S2 | 48.53 | -0.115 % | ||
| S3 | 48.50 | -0.178 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 48.88 | 0.597 % | |
| R2 | 48.68 | 0.185 % | ||
| R1 | 48.60 | 0.0206 % | ||
| Current price | 48.59 | |||
| Support | S1 | 48.55 | -0.0823% | |
| S2 | 48.49 | -0.216% | ||
| S3 | 48.47 | -0.247% |
BNDX Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mar 27, 2024 | Apr 01, 2024 | Apr 04, 2024 | $0.0913 | 0.186% |
| 2 | Feb 28, 2024 | Mar 01, 2024 | Mar 06, 2024 | $0.0851 | 0.174% |
| 3 | Jan 30, 2024 | Feb 01, 2024 | Feb 06, 2024 | $0.0859 | 0.176% |
| 4 | Dec 20, 2023 | Dec 22, 2023 | Dec 28, 2023 | $1.36 | 2.74% |
| 5 | Nov 29, 2023 | Dec 01, 2023 | Dec 06, 2023 | $0.0873 | 0.175% |
FAQ
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