Vanguard Total International Bond ETF Forecast
Vanguard Total International Bond ETF upgraded to Buy Candidate.
(Updated on Apr 22, 2024)
The Vanguard Total International Bond ETF price gained 0.123% on the last trading day (Monday, 22nd Apr 2024), rising from $48.59 to $48.65. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 0.227% from a day low at $48.55 to a day high of $48.66. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -0.47% loss for the last 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 620 thousand more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 3 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $123.47 million.
The ETF is at the lower part of a narrow and horizontal trend in the short term, and normally this may pose a good buying opportunity, though a breakdown through the bottom trend line at $48.54 will give a strong sell signal and a trend shift may be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect Vanguard Total International Bond ETF with a 90% probability to be traded between $48.64 and $49.37 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and ETFS seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. ETFS turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.
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BNDX Signals & Forecast
A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Thursday, April 18, 2024, and so far it has risen 0.227%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Vanguard Total International Bond ETF holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the ETF giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the ETF will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $48.89. On a fall, the ETF will find some support from the short-term average at $48.64. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD).
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Vanguard Total International Bond ETF
Vanguard Total International Bond finds support from accumulated volume at $48.60 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.110 between high and low, or 0.227%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 0.229%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $45.71 (-6.04%) (This ETF has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 2 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (BNDX) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 23rd
For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 23rd we expect Vanguard Total International Bond ETF to open at $48.62, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $48.49 and $48.81, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.159 (+/-0.33%) up or down from last closing price. If Vanguard Total International Bond ETF takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 0.65% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $48.68 (0.06%) than the support at $48.60 (0.10%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Vanguard Total International Bond ETF ETF A Buy?
Several short-term signals are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity, as there is a fair chance for Vanguard Total International Bond ETF to perform well in the short-term period. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Buy candidate.
Current score: 1.382 Buy Candidate Upgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Vanguard Total International Bond ETF of Tuesday, April 23, 2024
Fair opening price April 23, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$48.62 ( 0.0617%) | $48.65 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for BNDX
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 48.73 | 0.164 % | |
R2 | 48.69 | 0.0781 % | ||
R1 | 48.66 | 0.0247 % | ||
Current price: | 48.65 | |||
Support | S1 | 48.58 | -0.148 % | |
S2 | 48.55 | -0.201 % | ||
S3 | 48.51 | -0.288 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 49.03 | 0.781 % | |
R2 | 48.88 | 0.473 % | ||
R1 | 48.68 | 0.0617 % | ||
Current price | 48.65 | |||
Support | S1 | 48.60 | -0.103% | |
S2 | 48.49 | -0.339% | ||
S3 | 48.47 | -0.370% |
BNDX Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Mar 27, 2024 | Apr 01, 2024 | Apr 04, 2024 | $0.0913 | 0.186% |
2 | Feb 28, 2024 | Mar 01, 2024 | Mar 06, 2024 | $0.0851 | 0.174% |
3 | Jan 30, 2024 | Feb 01, 2024 | Feb 06, 2024 | $0.0859 | 0.176% |
4 | Dec 20, 2023 | Dec 22, 2023 | Dec 28, 2023 | $1.36 | 2.74% |
5 | Nov 29, 2023 | Dec 01, 2023 | Dec 06, 2023 | $0.0873 | 0.175% |
FAQ
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