Constellium NV Stock Forecast
Constellium NV stock downgraded from Buy Candidate to Sell Candidate after Wednesday trading session.
(Updated on Apr 17, 2024)
The Constellium NV stock price fell by -1.19% on the last day (Wednesday, 17th Apr 2024) from $20.98 to $20.73. It has now fallen 7 days in a row. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 3.09% from a day low at $20.70 to a day high of $21.34. The price has fallen in 8 of the last 10 days and is down by -9.4% for this period. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -271 thousand shares and in total, 638 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $13.22 million.
Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 18.72% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $24.61 and $27.87 at the end of this 3-month period.
CSTM Signals & Forecast
There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The Constellium NV stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $21.39 and $20.84. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, April 03, 2024, and so far it has fallen -9.40%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Constellium NV stock
On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $19.59 and $19.49. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Constellium NV finds support just below today's level at $19.59. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $19.49 and $19.13.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $0.640 between high and low, or 3.09%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 3.13%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (CSTM) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Thursday 18th
For the upcoming trading day on Thursday, 18th we expect Constellium NV to open at $20.92, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $20.13 and $21.33, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.605 (+/-2.92%) up or down from last closing price. If Constellium NV takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 5.83% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $20.98 (1.21%) than the support at $19.59 (5.50%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Earnings coming up
Constellium NV will release earnings BMO on Wednesday, April 24, 2024.The consensus among the analysts for the expected earnings (EPS) is $0.310. We will update the financials statements for Constellium NV, that can be found here as soon as the records are public. Our systems has calculated a possible swing of +/- 9.61% in the first trading day after earnings release.
Is Constellium NV stock A Buy?
The Constellium NV stock holds several negative signals and despite the positive trend, we believe Constellium NV will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. Therefore, we hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Sell candidate.
Current score: -2.785 Sell Candidate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Constellium NV of Thursday, April 18, 2024
| Fair opening price April 18, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $20.92 ( 0.93%) | $20.73 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for CSTM
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 21.56 | 4.02 % | |
| R2 | 21.32 | 2.84 % | ||
| R1 | 21.17 | 2.11 % | ||
| Current price: | 20.73 | |||
| Support | S1 | 20.68 | -0.247 % | |
| S2 | 20.53 | -0.98 % | ||
| S3 | 20.28 | -2.15 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 22.41 | 8.10 % | |
| R2 | 21.80 | 5.16 % | ||
| R1 | 20.98 | 1.21 % | ||
| Current price | 20.73 | |||
| Support | S1 | 19.59 | -5.50% | |
| S2 | 19.49 | -5.98% | ||
| S3 | 19.13 | -7.72% |
FAQ
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