Deckers Outdoor Corp Forecast and Stock Analysis
Technical DECK stock analysis for Wednesday June 19, 2019.
Deckers Outdoor Corp fell by -0.24% in the last day ( Wednesday, 19th Jun 2019 ) from $174.82 to $174.40 During day the stock fluctuated 1.37% from a day low at $172.62 to a day high of $174.98. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 11.95% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased in the last day by 23 875 shares, but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly for the next couple of days. In total, 292 993 shares bought and sold for approximately $51.10 million.
- 30 day high of the DECK stock price was $176.80 and low was $141.20.
- 90 day high was $176.80 and low was $137.20.
- 52 week high for the Deckers Outdoor Corp - $176.80 and low - $101.69.
Deckers Outdoor Corp lies in the upper part of a wide and strong rising trend in the short term, and this will normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break-up at the top trend line at $177.48 will firstly indicate a stronger raising rate. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 12.98% during the next 3 months and, with 90% probability hold a price between $165.81 and $200.52 at the end of this period.
There are mixed signals in the stock today. A sales signal was issued from a pivot top point on Thursday June 13, 2019, which indicates further falls until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely. Deckers Outdoor Corp holds buy signals from both short- and long-term moving averages. In addition, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down there will be some support from the lines at $173.28 and $155.67. A break down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.
* Golden Star Signal* is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the stock in question.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
RSI14 is 88 and the stock is extremely overbought on RSI14, so further reactions should be expected. Some stocks may have a long and hard correction after reaching so high an RSI, but not in all cases. However, the short-term risk has increased drastically and larger movements in the next couple of days can be expected.
Support & Resistance
On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $153.46 and $151.25.
There is natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Deckers Outdoor Corp finds support just below today's level at $153.46. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $151.25 and $147.41.
This stock may move much during a day (volatility) and with a large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the stock moved $2.36 between high and low, or 1.37%. For the last week, the stock has had a daily average volatility of 1.57%.
The stock is overbought on RSI14 and lies in the upper part of the trend. Normally this will pose a good selling opportunity for the short-term trader, but some stocks may go long and hard while being overbought. Regardless, the high RSI together with the trend position increases the risk and higher daily movements (volatility) should be expected. A correction down in the nearby future seems very likely and it is of great importance that the stock manages to break the trend before that occurs.
Our recommended stoploss: $168.67 (-3.29%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. The RSI14 is 88 and this increases the risk substantially. There is a sell signal from pivot top found 4 days ago.)
1.57 %Average volatility
Very Low Low Medium High Very High
Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for this stock to perform well in the short-term.
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|DECK $174.40 ($-0.42 -0.24%)|
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