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FBR - Fibria Celulose SA

Industry: Paper & Paper Products Sector: Consumer Goods Exchange: NYSE

Fri 23'rd Feb 2018

PERIOD 2017-11-24 - 2018-02-23
CHANGE -0.37%
PRICE $18.70
VOLUME
Buy
TREND
Buy

MV LONG
Buy

MV SHORT
Buy

PIVOT
Sell

MACD
Sell

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Fibria Celulose SA Stock Analysis

Technical stock analysis for Fri 23'rd Feb 2018

Shorts 1.80% ( 2018-01-31 )
Cash 7 919.4 mill
Loans 23 400.6 mill
Beta -0.11
ROA 2.87
Buy candidate since 2018-02-06 Gain 11.64%

Fibria Celulose SA fell by -0.37% in the last day from $18.77 to $18.70 The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days , but is still up by 12.79% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased in the last day by 0.27 million shares, but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly for the next couple of days. In total, 2.10 million shares bought and sold for approximately $39.29 million.

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Trend

Fibria Celulose SA lies in the middle of a wide and strong rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 27.56% during the next 3 months and, with 90% probability hold a price between $21.86 and $24.82 at the end of this period.

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Signals

Fibria Celulose SA holds buy signals from both short- and long-term moving averages. In addition, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down there will be some support from the lines at $18.11 and $16.69. A break down below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sales signal was issued from a pivot top point on Tuesday February 20, 2018, which indicates further falls until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.

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Relative Strength Index (RSI)

RSI14 is 62 and the stock is currently not being overbought or oversold

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Support & Resistance

Fibria Celulose SA finds support from accumulated volume at $17.84. On the upside the stock meets some resistance just above today's level from accumulated volume at $18.73, $18.77 and $19.25.

The stock is about to test the resistance from accumulated volume at $18.73 and this may cause the stock to take a minor break or get into a more sideways move for a few days.

Support: $17.84 Price: $18.70 Resistance: $18.73

Risk

This stock may move much during a day (volatility) and with a large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the stock moved $0.41 between high and low, or 2.22%. For the last week, the stock has had a daily average volatility of 4.01%.

Our recommended stoploss: $17.71 (-5.30%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a sell signal from pivot top found 3 days ago.)

Overall risk:

Very Low Low Medium High Very High

Evaluation

Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for this stock to perform well in the short-term.

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