First California Financial Group, Inc ETF Forecast
Red day on Tuesday for First California Financial Group, Inc
(Updated on Apr 23, 2024)
The First California Financial Group, Inc ETF price fell by -0.263% on the last day (Tuesday, 23rd Apr 2024) from $49.27 to $49.14. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 0.388% from a day low at $49.03 to a day high of $49.22. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -0.47% for this period. Volume fell on the last day along with the ETF, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the ETF. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -14 thousand shares and in total, 20 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $997.35 thousand.
The ETF is at the lower part of a narrow and horizontal trend in the short term, and normally this may pose a good buying opportunity, though a breakdown through the bottom trend line at $49.11 will give a strong sell signal and a trend shift may be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect First California Financial Group, Inc ETF with a 90% probability to be traded between $48.69 and $49.24 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and ETFS seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. ETFS turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.
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FCAL Signals & Forecast
There are mixed signals in the ETF today. The First California Financial Group, Inc ETF holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $49.22 and $49.55. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. Volume fell along with the price during the last trading day, which is technical positive. One should, however, note that this ETF may have low liquidity in periods, which increases the general risk. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Wednesday, April 17, 2024, and so far it has fallen 0%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). The ETF had a Golden Star Signal on Thursday, July 13, 2023 in the long-term chart.
Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the ETF in question.
Golden Star 12 Months
The ETF had a Golden Star Signal on Thursday, July 13, 2023 in the long-term chart.Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the ETF in question.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for First California Financial Group, Inc ETF
There is no support from accumulated volume below today's level and given the right condition the ETF may perform very badly in the next couple of days.
In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and therefore the general risk is considered very low. However, be aware of low or falling volume and make sure to keep an eye on the ETF During the last day, the ETF moved $0.190 between high and low, or 0.388%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 0.273%
Our recommended stop-loss: $46.11 (-6.16%) (This ETF has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 4 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (FCAL) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 24th
For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 24th we expect First California Financial Group, Inc to open at $49.13, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $49.00 and $49.28, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.143 (+/-0.29%) up or down from last closing price. If First California Financial Group, Inc takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 0.58% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
With no support below and resistance from accumulated volume @ $49.71, some $0.570 (1.16%) from the current price of $49.14, our system finds the risk reward not very attractive.
Is First California Financial Group, Inc ETF A Buy?
First California Financial Group, Inc holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development.
Current score: -0.535 Hold/Accumulate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for First California Financial Group, Inc of Wednesday, April 24, 2024
Fair opening price April 24, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$49.13 ( 0.0204%) | $49.14 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for FCAL
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 49.32 | 0.366 % | |
R2 | 49.25 | 0.219 % | ||
R1 | 49.20 | 0.127 % | ||
Current price: | 49.14 | |||
Support | S1 | 49.06 | -0.168 % | |
S2 | 49.01 | -0.259 % | ||
S3 | 48.94 | -0.407 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 49.84 | 1.41 % | |
R2 | 49.83 | 1.39 % | ||
R1 | 49.71 | 1.16 % | ||
Current price | 49.14 | |||
Support | S1 | 0 | . | |
S2 | 0 | . | ||
S3 | 0 | . |
FCAL Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Mar 21, 2024 | Mar 21, 2024 | Mar 28, 2024 | $0.120 | 0.242% |
2 | Feb 20, 2024 | Feb 21, 2024 | Feb 29, 2024 | $0.240 | 0.482% |
3 | Jan 22, 2024 | Jan 23, 2024 | Jan 31, 2024 | $0.120 | 0.241% |
4 | Dec 21, 2023 | Dec 22, 2023 | Dec 29, 2023 | $0.120 | 0.240% |
5 | Nov 20, 2023 | Nov 21, 2023 | Nov 30, 2023 | $0.117 | 0.240% |
FAQ
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