FIRST TRUST DOW JONES SELECT MICROCAP Stock Forecast
Stronger technical forecast for FIRST TRUST DOW JONES SELECT MICROCAP stock price after Friday trading.
(Updated on Apr 19, 2024)
The FIRST TRUST DOW JONES SELECT MICROCAP stock price fell by -0.452% on the last day (Friday, 19th Apr 2024) from £332.00 to £330.50. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 6.48% from a day low at £324.00 to a day high of £345.00. The price has risen in 5 of the last 10 days but is still down by -3.22% for this period. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -858 thousand shares and in total, 54 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately £17.81 million.
The stock lies in the middle of a very wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -28.17% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between £199.24 and £254.76 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
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FDM.L Signals & Forecast
There are mixed signals in the stock today. The FIRST TRUST DOW JONES SELECT MICROCAP stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at £332.43 and £361.87. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Thursday, March 21, 2024, and so far it has risen 3.28%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD).
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for FIRST TRUST DOW JONES SELECT MICROCAP stock
FIRST TRUST DOW JONES SELECT MICROCAP finds support from accumulated volume at £329.50 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved £21.00 between high and low, or 6.48%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 6.05%.
Our recommended stop-loss: £310.29 (-6.11%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 19 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (FDM.L) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 22nd
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 22nd we expect FIRST TRUST DOW JONES SELECT MICROCAP INDEX FUND to open at £333.17, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between £310.60 and £350.40, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-£19.90 (+/-6.02%) up or down from last closing price. If FIRST TRUST DOW JONES SELECT MICROCAP INDEX FUND takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 12.04% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at £329.50 (0.30%) than the resistance at £332.00 (0.45%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is FIRST TRUST DOW JONES SELECT MICROCAP INDEX FUND stock A Buy?
FIRST TRUST DOW JONES SELECT MICROCAP holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: -0.437 Hold/Accumulate Upgraded
Predicted Opening Price for FIRST TRUST DOW JONES SELECT MICROCAP INDEX FUND of Monday, April 22, 2024
| Fair opening price April 22, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| £333.17 ( 0.81%) | £330.50 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for FDM.L
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 354.17 | 7.16 % | |
| R2 | 346.14 | 4.73 % | ||
| R1 | 341.19 | 3.23 % | ||
| Current price: | 330.50 | |||
| Support | S1 | 325.14 | -1.62 % | |
| S2 | 320.19 | -3.12 % | ||
| S3 | 312.17 | -5.55 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 378.00 | 14.37 % | |
| R2 | 343.50 | 3.93 % | ||
| R1 | 332.00 | 0.454 % | ||
| Current price | 330.50 | |||
| Support | S1 | 329.50 | -0.303% | |
| S2 | 324.50 | -1.82% | ||
| S3 | 320.00 | -3.18% |
FDM Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jun 06, 2024 | Jun 06, 2024 | Jun 28, 2024 | £19.00 | 5.75% |
| 2 | Jun 08, 2023 | Jun 08, 2023 | Jun 08, 2023 | £19.00 | 2.79% |
| 3 | Jul 28, 2022 | Aug 25, 2022 | Sep 30, 2022 | £17.00 | 2.71% |
| 4 | Mar 17, 2022 | May 19, 2022 | Jun 10, 2022 | £18.00 | 2.07% |
| 5 | Jul 28, 2021 | Aug 05, 2021 | Sep 03, 2021 | £15.00 | 1.15% |
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