FedEx Stock Forecast
Weaker technical forecast for FedEx as stock downgraded to Sell Candidate.
(Updated on Apr 17, 2024)
The FedEx stock price fell by -0.706% on the last day (Wednesday, 17th Apr 2024) from $264.94 to $263.07. It has now fallen 4 days in a row. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.42% from a day low at $262.22 to a day high of $265.93. The price has fallen in 7 of the last 10 days and is down by -5.54% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 149 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 1 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $339.63 million.
The stock lies in the lower part of a wide and strong rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $263.01 is broken, it will firstly indicate a slower rate of rising, but may also be an early warning for a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 15.11% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $302.76 and $342.96 at the end of this 3-month period.
Ready to grow your portfolio? Here's your beginner's guide to opening a free brokerage account.
FDX Signals & Forecast
There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The FedEx stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $268.77 and $264.59. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Thursday, March 28, 2024, and so far it has fallen -9.20%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for FedEx stock
On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $243.77 and $241.29. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, FedEx finds support just below today's level at $243.77. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $241.29 and $238.31.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $3.71 between high and low, or 1.42%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.65%.
FedEx is oversold on RSI14 (22). Some stocks may drop long and hard while being oversold on RSI before turning, which increases the general risk.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (FDX) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Thursday 18th
For the upcoming trading day on Thursday, 18th we expect FedEx Corporation to open at $263.74, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $257.75 and $268.39, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$5.32 (+/-2.02%) up or down from last closing price. If FedEx Corporation takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 4.05% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $264.85 (0.68%) than the support at $243.77 (7.34%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is FedEx Corporation stock A Buy?
The FedEx stock holds several negative signals and despite the positive trend, we believe FedEx will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. Therefore, we hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Sell candidate.
Current score: -4.316 Sell Candidate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for FedEx Corporation of Thursday, April 18, 2024
| Fair opening price April 18, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $263.74 ( 0.255%) | $263.07 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for FDX
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 267.45 | 1.67 % | |
| R2 | 266.03 | 1.13 % | ||
| R1 | 265.16 | 0.794 % | ||
| Current price: | 263.07 | |||
| Support | S1 | 262.32 | -0.284 % | |
| S2 | 261.45 | -0.617 % | ||
| S3 | 260.03 | -1.16 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 288.99 | 9.85 % | |
| R2 | 284.32 | 8.08 % | ||
| R1 | 264.85 | 0.677 % | ||
| Current price | 263.07 | |||
| Support | S1 | 243.77 | -7.34% | |
| S2 | 241.29 | -8.28% | ||
| S3 | 238.31 | -9.41% |
FDX Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Feb 16, 2024 | Mar 08, 2024 | Apr 01, 2024 | $1.26 | 0.450% |
| 2 | Dec 08, 2023 | Dec 08, 2023 | Jan 02, 2024 | $1.26 | 0.500% |
| 3 | Aug 18, 2023 | Sep 08, 2023 | Oct 02, 2023 | $1.26 | 0.475% |
| 4 | Apr 05, 2023 | Jun 09, 2023 | Jul 03, 2023 | $1.26 | 0.509% |
| 5 | Feb 17, 2023 | Mar 10, 2023 | Apr 03, 2023 | $1.15 | 0.503% |
FAQ
Click here for our free guide on how to buy FedEx Stock.
