First Trust Stock Forecast
Weaker technical forecast for First Trust as stock downgraded to Sell Candidate.
(Updated on Apr 22, 2024)
The First Trust stock price gained 1.40% on the last trading day (Monday, 22nd Apr 2024), rising from $17.89 to $18.14. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 0.95% from a day low at $17.97 to a day high of $18.14. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -2.32% for this period. Volume fell on the last day by -2 thousand shares and in total, 9 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $169.52 thousand. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The stock is at the lower part of a horizontal trend in the short term, and normally this may pose a good buying opportunity, though a breakdown through the bottom trend line at $17.89 will give a strong sell signal and a trend shift may be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect First Trust stock with a 90% probability to be traded between $17.86 and $19.14 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and stocks seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. Stocks turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.
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FFA Signals & Forecast
There are mixed signals in the stock today. The First Trust stock holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the stock giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $18.61. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the short-term average at $18.06. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell during the last trading day while the price increased. This causes a divergence and may be considered as an early warning, but it may also not. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Friday, April 19, 2024, and so far it has risen 1.40%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for First Trust stock
First Trust finds support from accumulated volume at $18.11 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and therefore the general risk is considered very low. However, be aware of low or falling volume and make sure to keep an eye on the stock During the last day, the stock moved $0.170 between high and low, or 0.95%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 0.90%
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (FFA) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 23rd
For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 23rd we expect First Trust to open at $18.08, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $17.92 and $18.36, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.218 (+/-1.20%) up or down from last closing price. If First Trust takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.41% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $18.11 (0.17%) than the resistance at $18.40 (1.43%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is First Trust stock A Buy?
First Trust holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Sell candidate.
Current score: -1.228 Sell Candidate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for First Trust of Tuesday, April 23, 2024
| Fair opening price April 23, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $18.08 ( 0.312%) | $18.14 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for FFA
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 18.25 | 0.625 % | |
| R2 | 18.19 | 0.267 % | ||
| R1 | 18.15 | 0.0456 % | ||
| Current price: | 18.14 | |||
| Support | S1 | 18.02 | -0.670 % | |
| S2 | 17.98 | -0.89 % | ||
| S3 | 17.91 | -1.25 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 18.90 | 4.19 % | |
| R2 | 18.51 | 2.04 % | ||
| R1 | 18.40 | 1.43 % | ||
| Current price | 18.14 | |||
| Support | S1 | 18.11 | -0.165% | |
| S2 | 17.99 | -0.83% | ||
| S3 | 17.97 | -0.94% |
FFA Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mar 22, 2024 | Mar 22, 2024 | Mar 28, 2024 | $0.315 | 1.67% |
| 2 | Dec 11, 2023 | Dec 22, 2023 | Dec 29, 2023 | $0.315 | 1.72% |
| 3 | Sep 11, 2023 | Sep 22, 2023 | Sep 29, 2023 | $0.315 | 1.82% |
| 4 | Jun 12, 2023 | Jun 22, 2023 | Jun 30, 2023 | $0.315 | 1.80% |
| 5 | Mar 13, 2023 | Mar 22, 2023 | Dec 31, 2018 | $0.315 | 2.44% |
FAQ
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