First Trust Managed Municipal ETF Forecast

First Trust Managed Municipal ETF upgraded to Hold/Accumulate.
(Updated on Apr 22, 2024)

FMB Signals & Forecast

A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Wednesday, April 10, 2024, and so far it has risen 0.443%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The First Trust Managed Municipal ETF holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the ETF giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the ETF will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $51.28. On a fall, the ETF will find some support from the short-term average at $50.96. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. The ETF had a Golden Star Signal on Thursday, July 13, 2023 in the long-term chart.

Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the ETF in question.

Buy

Special Signal Notification

Golden Star 12 Months

The ETF had a Golden Star Signal on Thursday, July 13, 2023 in the long-term chart.

Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the ETF in question.

Sell

Special Signal Notification

Double Top Formation

A sell signal from a double top formation was found on Friday, March 08, 2024 with a target of $51.09. Despite whether the objective of the signal formation has been reached the ETF may continue to fall.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for First Trust Managed Municipal ETF

First Trust Managed Municipal finds support from accumulated volume at $50.99 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.0600 between high and low, or 0.118%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 0.198%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $47.95 (-5.97%) (This ETF has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 8 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (FMB) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 23rd

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 23rd we expect First Trust Managed Municipal ETF to open at $51.00, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $50.86 and $51.13, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.138 (+/-0.27%) up or down from last closing price. If First Trust Managed Municipal ETF takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 0.54% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $50.99 (0.02%) than the resistance at $51.10 (0.21%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..

Is First Trust Managed Municipal ETF ETF A Buy?

First Trust Managed Municipal holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.

Current score: -0.932 Hold/Accumulate Upgraded

Predicted Opening Price for First Trust Managed Municipal ETF of Tuesday, April 23, 2024

The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.