First Trust Managed Municipal ETF Forecast

First Trust Managed Municipal ETF downgraded from Hold/Accumulate to Sell Candidate after Wednesday trading session.
(Updated on Apr 17, 2024)

FMB Signals & Forecast

There are mixed signals in the ETF today. The First Trust Managed Municipal ETF holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the ETF giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the ETF will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $51.32. On a fall, the ETF will find some support from the short-term average at $50.93. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Wednesday, April 10, 2024, and so far it has risen 0.384%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The ETF should be watched closely. The ETF had a Golden Star Signal on Thursday, July 13, 2023 in the long-term chart.

Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the ETF in question.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for First Trust Managed Municipal ETF

First Trust Managed Municipal finds support from accumulated volume at $50.92 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.170 between high and low, or 0.335%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 0.266%.

Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.

Trading Expectations (FMB) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Thursday 18th

For the upcoming trading day on Thursday, 18th we expect First Trust Managed Municipal ETF to open at $50.93, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $50.81 and $51.12, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.152 (+/-0.30%) up or down from last closing price. If First Trust Managed Municipal ETF takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 0.60% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $50.92 (0.09%) than the resistance at $51.35 (0.76%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..

Is First Trust Managed Municipal ETF ETF A Buy?

First Trust Managed Municipal holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this ETF. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Sell candidate.

Current score: -1.266 Sell Candidate Downgraded

Predicted Opening Price for First Trust Managed Municipal ETF of Thursday, April 18, 2024

The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.