Hugoton Royalty Trust Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Evaluation of Hugoton Royalty Trust stock downgraded after the last trading session.
(Updated on Apr 17, 2024)
The Hugoton Royalty Trust stock price gained 1.69% on the last trading day (Wednesday, 17th Apr 2024), rising from £472.00 to £480.00. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.97% from a day low at £471.50 to a day high of £485.50. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -0.21% for this period. Volume fell on the last day by -332 thousand shares and in total, 388 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately £186.07 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The stock lies in the middle of a strong rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 16.26% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between £532.62 and £576.64 at the end of this 3-month period.
Ready to grow your portfolio? Here's your beginner's guide to opening a free brokerage account.
HGT.L Signals & Forecast
The Hugoton Royalty Trust stock holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the stock giving a positive forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately £483.50. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the long-term average at approximately £466.43. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Thursday, April 11, 2024, and so far it has fallen -2.34%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD).
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Hugoton Royalty Trust stock
Hugoton Royalty Trust finds support from accumulated volume at £456.00 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock is usually traded at a good volume, and with minor daily changes, the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the stock moved £14.00 (2.97%) between high and low. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 3.05%.
Our recommended stop-loss: £459.70 (-4.23%) (This stock has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 4 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (HGT.L) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Thursday 18th
For the upcoming trading day on Thursday, 18th we expect Hugoton Royalty Trust to open at £479.00, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between £466.32 and £493.68, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-£13.68 (+/-2.85%) up or down from last closing price. If Hugoton Royalty Trust takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 5.70% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at £482.00 (0.42%) than the support at £456.00 (5.00%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Hugoton Royalty Trust stock A Buy?
Hugoton Royalty Trust holds several negative signals and this should be a sell candidate, but due to the general chance for a turnaround situation it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: 0.914 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Hugoton Royalty Trust of Thursday, April 18, 2024
| Fair opening price April 18, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| £479.00 ( 0.208%) | £480.00 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for HGT.L
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 493.00 | 2.71 % | |
| R2 | 487.65 | 1.59 % | ||
| R1 | 484.35 | 0.91 % | ||
| Current price: | 480.00 | |||
| Support | S1 | 473.65 | -1.32 % | |
| S2 | 470.35 | -2.01 % | ||
| S3 | 465.00 | -3.13 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 487.00 | 1.46 % | |
| R2 | 486.00 | 1.25 % | ||
| R1 | 482.00 | 0.417 % | ||
| Current price | 480.00 | |||
| Support | S1 | 456.00 | -5.00% | |
| S2 | 448.00 | -6.67% | ||
| S3 | 414.00 | -13.75% |
HGT Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mar 21, 2024 | Mar 21, 2024 | May 21, 2024 | £4.50 | 0.94% |
| 2 | Sep 28, 2023 | Sep 28, 2023 | Sep 28, 2023 | £0.0200 | 0.0052% |
| 3 | Mar 23, 2023 | Mar 23, 2023 | Mar 23, 2023 | £4.50 | 1.34% |
| 4 | Sep 12, 2022 | Sep 22, 2022 | Oct 24, 2022 | £2.50 | 0.700% |
| 5 | Mar 07, 2022 | Mar 17, 2022 | May 13, 2022 | £5.00 | 1.28% |
FAQ
Click here for our free guide on how to buy Hugoton Royalty Trust Stock.
