Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited stock price took a fall of -6.24% on Monday
(Updated on Apr 22, 2024)
The Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited stock price fell by -6.24% on the last day (Monday, 22nd Apr 2024) from $9.29 to $8.71. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 4.90% from a day low at $8.36 to a day high of $8.77. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -2.46% loss for the last 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 377 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 6 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $54.75 million.
The stock lies in the middle of a wide and strong rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 72.30% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $13.53 and $16.12 at the end of this 3-month period.
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HMY Signals & Forecast
The Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited stock holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the stock giving a positive forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately $9.03. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the long-term average at approximately $8.17. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Friday, April 19, 2024, and so far it has fallen -6.24%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited stock
Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited finds support from accumulated volume at $8.59 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $0.410 between high and low, or 4.90%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 3.83%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $8.28 (-4.88%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 1 day ago.)
Trading Expectations (HMY) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 23rd
For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 23rd we expect Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited to open at $8.61, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $8.30 and $9.12, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.411 (+/-4.72%) up or down from last closing price. If Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 9.43% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $8.59 (1.38%) than the resistance at $8.84 (1.49%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited stock A Buy?
Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Strong Buy to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: 0.911 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited of Tuesday, April 23, 2024
| Fair opening price April 23, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $8.61 ( 1.11%) | $8.71 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for HMY
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 9.02 | 3.60 % | |
| R2 | 8.87 | 1.80 % | ||
| R1 | 8.77 | 0.688 % | ||
| Current price: | 8.71 | |||
| Support | S1 | 8.46 | -2.91 % | |
| S2 | 8.36 | -4.02 % | ||
| S3 | 8.20 | -5.82 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 9.11 | 4.59 % | |
| R2 | 9.02 | 3.56 % | ||
| R1 | 8.84 | 1.49 % | ||
| Current price | 8.71 | |||
| Support | S1 | 8.59 | -1.38% | |
| S2 | 7.93 | -8.96% | ||
| S3 | 6.70 | -23.08% |
HMY Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mar 07, 2024 | Apr 11, 2024 | Apr 22, 2024 | $0.0623 | 0.715% |
| 2 | Aug 31, 2023 | Oct 12, 2023 | Oct 23, 2023 | $0.0300 | 0.621% |
| 3 | Sep 08, 2022 | Oct 13, 2022 | Oct 24, 2022 | $0.0130 | 0.478% |
| 4 | Mar 03, 2022 | Apr 07, 2022 | Apr 18, 2022 | $0.0260 | 0.539% |
| 5 | Sep 10, 2021 | Oct 14, 2021 | Oct 25, 2021 | $0.0190 | 0.477% |
FAQ
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