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Fri 20'th Apr 2018

PERIOD 2018-01-22 - 2018-04-20
CHANGE 1.31%
PRICE $9.31
VOLUME
Sell
TREND
Buy

MV LONG
Buy

MV SHORT
Buy

PIVOT
Buy

MACD
Buy

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Intelsat SA Stock Analysis

Technical stock analysis for Fri 20'th Apr 2018

Buy candidate since 2018-04-05 Gain 91.17%

Intelsat SA gained 1.31% in the last trading day, rising from $9.19 to $9.31 , and has now gained 3 days in a row. It will be exciting to see whether it manages to continue gaining or take a minor break for the next few days. The price has risen in 8 of the last 10 days and is up by 81.48% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell in the last day by -2.87 million shares, and in total, 4.42 million shares bought and sold for approximately $41.16 million. You should take into consideration that a falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes for the next couple of days.

Shorts 2.82% ( 2018-03-29 )
Cash 1 712.2 mill
Loans 28 437.7 mill
Beta 1.08
ROA -1.31

Trend

Intelsat SA has broken the very wide and strong rising the short-term trend up and an even stronger rising rate is indicated. For any reaction back there will now be support on the roof on the current trend broken at $7.12, a level that may pose a second chance to hit a runner. According to fan-theory $9.57 will be the next possible trend-top level and thereby pose a resistance level which may not be broken at the first attempt.

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Signals

Only positive signals in the chart today. Intelsat SA holds buy signals from both short- and long-term moving averages. In addition, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down there will be some support from the lines at $8.44 and $5.46. A break down below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Monday April 02, 2018, which indicates further gains until a new top pivot has been found. Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely.

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Relative Strength Index (RSI)

RSI14 is 99 and the stock is extremely overbought on RSI14, but may also ontinue to gain. Some stocks see their best performance while being overbought, but very seldom does RSI remain so high for a long time without short corrections. Risk has therefore increased and larger daily movements can be expected for the next couple of days.

Access full RSI 14 and RSI 21 lists

Support & Resistance

Intelsat SA finds support from accumulated volume at $9.19. There is no resistance from accumulated volume above today's level and given the right condition the stock may perform very well during the next couple of days.

Support: $9.19 Price: $9.31

Risk

This stock may move much during a day (volatility) and with a large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the stock moved $0.73 between high and low, or 8.30%. For the last week, the stock has had a daily average volatility of 15.56%.

The stock is extremely overbought on RSI14 (99). Normally this will pose a good selling opportunity, but since the stock has broken the trend up the chance for a major correction due to high RSI is very small as the stock will find support at the trend broken.

Our recommended stoploss: $9.08 (-2.52%) (This stock has very high daily movements and this gives very high risk. The RSI14 is 99 and this increases the risk substantially. There is a buy signal from pivot bottom found 14 days ago.)

Overall risk:

Very Low Low Medium High Very High

Evaluation

Several short-term signals are positive and the stock has broke the rising trend up, which indicates an even stronger rising rate. We conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for this stock to perform well in the short-term period. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our recommendation for this stock since last evaluation from a Strong Buy Candidate to a Buy Candidate.

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