Wed 17'th Oct 2018

PERIOD 2018-07-18 - 2018-10-17
CHANGE 2.46%
PRICE $37.48
VOLUME
Sell
TREND
Buy

MV LONG
Buy

MV SHORT
Buy

PIVOT
Buy

MACD
Buy

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Intelsat SA Stock Analysis

Technical stock analysis for Wed 17'th Oct 2018

Buy candidate since 2018-09-25 Gain 38.51%
Shorts 2.70% ( 2018-09-28 )
Cash 580.7 mill
Loans 14 216.5 mill
Beta 0.94
ROA -1.84

Intelsat SA gained 2.46% in the last trading day, rising from $36.58 to $37.48 , and has now gained 6 days in a row. It is not often that stocks manage to gain so many days in a row, and falls for a day or two should be expected. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 12.72% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell in the last day by -0.60 million shares, and in total, 4.81 million shares bought and sold for approximately $180.16 million. You should take into consideration that a falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes for the next couple of days.

Trend

Intelsat SA has broken the very wide and strong rising the short-term trend up and an even stronger rising rate is indicated. For any reaction back there will now be support on the roof on the current trend broken at $35.23, a level that may pose a second chance to hit a runner. According to fan-theory $43.58 will be the next possible trend-top level and thereby pose a resistance level which may not be broken at the first attempt.

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Signals

Only positive signals in the chart today. Intelsat SA holds buy signals from both short- and long-term moving averages. In addition, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down there will be some support from the lines at $32.79 and $26.86. A break down below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Wednesday October 10, 2018, which indicates further gains until a new top pivot has been found. Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely.

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Relative Strength Index (RSI)

The stock holds a RSI14 at 75 and is currently being overbought on RSI. This does not have to be a sales signal as many stocks may go both long and hard while being overbought on the RSI. It is therefore important to evaluate the history of the share as it may tell you something about the RSI-sensitiveness.

Access full RSI 14 and RSI 21 lists

Support & Resistance

Intelsat SA finds support from accumulated volume at $36.58.

Support: $36.58 Price: $37.48

Risk

This stock may move much during a day (volatility) and with a large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the stock moved $2.10 between high and low, or 5.90%. For the last week, the stock has had a daily average volatility of 7.45%.

The stock is extremely overbought on RSI14 (75). Normally this will pose a good selling opportunity, but since the stock has broken the trend up the chance for a major correction due to high RSI is very small as the stock will find support at the trend broken. Since the Intelsat SA has been rising for 6 days in a row, the risk for the next couple of days has increased. We don't expect a major reaction as the stock is in very good shape technically, and therefore hold a positive evaluation despite the very short term risk.

Our recommended stoploss: $35.74 (-4.65%) (This stock has very high daily movements and this gives very high risk. The RSI14 is 75 and this increases the risk substantially. There is a buy signal from pivot bottom found 5 days ago.)

Overall risk:

Very Low Low Medium High Very High

Evaluation

Several short-term signals are positive and the stock has broke the rising trend up, which indicates an even stronger rising rate. We conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for this stock to perform well in the short-term period.

Strong Buy Candidate

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I $37.48 $0.90(2.46%)
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