KCAP Financial Stock Forecast
KCAP Financial stock downgraded to Hold/Accumulate
(Updated on Nov 19, 2020)
The KCAP Financial stock price gained 1.34% on the last trading day (Thursday, 19th Nov 2020), rising from $1.49 to $1.51. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 4.08% from a day low at $1.47 to a day high of $1.53. The price has risen in 7 of the last 10 days and is up by 14.39% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 71 thousand more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 482 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $727.08 thousand.
The stock has broken the wide and strong rising the short-term trend up and an even stronger rate of rising is indicated. For any reaction back there will now be support on the roof on the current trend broken at $1.50, a level that may pose a second chance to hit a runner. According to fan-theory $1.68 will be the next possible trend-top level and thereby pose a resistance level that may not be broken at the first attempt.
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KCAP Signals & Forecast
The KCAP Financial stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $1.46 and $1.37. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Wednesday, October 28, 2020, and so far it has risen 19.84%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). KCAP Financial has increased volume and follows the last lift in the price. This is considered to be a technical positive sign as volume should follow the price-formation. Higher liquidity also reduces the general risk.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for KCAP Financial stock
KCAP Financial finds support from accumulated volume at $1.50 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $0.0600 between high and low, or 4.08%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 4.68%.
The KCAP Financial stock is extremely overbought on RSI14 (86). Normally this may pose a good selling opportunity but since the stock has broken the trend up, the chance for a major correction due to high RSI is very small as the stock will find support at the trend broken.
Our recommended stop-loss: $1.45 (-3.69%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. The RSI14 is 86 and this increases the risk substantially. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 16 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (KCAP) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 20th
For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 20th we expect KCAP Financial to open at $1.50, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $1.45 and $1.57, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.0555 (+/-3.67%) up or down from last closing price. If KCAP Financial takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 7.34% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
With no resistance above and support from accumulated volume @ $1.50, some $0.0100 (0.66%) from the current price of $1.51, our system finds the risk reward attractive.
Is KCAP Financial stock A Buy?
KCAP Financial holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: 0.000 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded
Zero in score indicates that our system is expecting high volatility and risk for the following trading day. Given the latest developments, we cannot determine the next direction as it may go both ways.
Predicted Opening Price for KCAP Financial of Friday, November 20, 2020
Fair opening price November 20, 2020 | Current price |
---|---|
$1.50 ( 0.442%) | $1.51 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for KCAP
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 1.56 | 3.53 % | |
R2 | 1.54 | 2.01 % | ||
R1 | 1.53 | 1.08 % | ||
Current price: | 1.51 | |||
Support | S1 | 1.48 | -1.96 % | |
S2 | 1.47 | -2.90 % | ||
S3 | 1.44 | -4.42 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 0 | . | |
R2 | 0 | . | ||
R1 | 0 | . | ||
Current price | 1.51 | |||
Support | S1 | 1.50 | -0.662% | |
S2 | 1.27 | -15.89% | ||
S3 | 1.26 | -16.56% |
FAQ
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