Kromek Group Plc Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Evaluation of Kromek Group Plc stock downgraded after the last trading session.
(Updated on Apr 18, 2024)
The Kromek Group Plc stock price gained 0.719% on the last trading day (Thursday, 18th Apr 2024), rising from £6.95 to £7.00. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 5.37% from a day low at £6.70 to a day high of £7.06. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 27.27% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -1 million shares and in total, 305 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately £2.13 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The stock lies in the middle of a very wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -3.98% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between £4.90 and £7.43 at the end of this 3-month period.
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KMK.L Signals & Forecast
The Kromek Group Plc stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at £6.96 and £6.20. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Friday, April 12, 2024, and so far it has fallen -4.11%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Kromek Group Plc stock
On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at £6.30 and £5.75. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Kromek Group Plc finds support just below today's level at £6.30. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at £5.75 and £5.60.
This stock may move much during the day (volatility) and with a large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the stock moved £0.360 between high and low, or 5.37%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 8.39%.
Our recommended stop-loss: £6.70 (-4.36%) (This stock has high daily movements and this gives high risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 4 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (KMK.L) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 19th
For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 19th we expect Kromek Group Plc to open at £6.92, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between £6.40 and £7.60, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-£0.598 (+/-8.54%) up or down from last closing price. If Kromek Group Plc takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 17.09% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at £7.25 (3.57%) than the support at £6.30 (10.00%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Kromek Group Plc stock A Buy?
Kromek Group Plc holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: 0.992 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Kromek Group Plc of Friday, April 19, 2024
| Fair opening price April 19, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| £6.92 ( 1.14%) | £7.00 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for KMK.L
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 7.28 | 4.00 % | |
| R2 | 7.14 | 2.04 % | ||
| R1 | 7.06 | 0.82 % | ||
| Current price: | 7.00 | |||
| Support | S1 | 6.78 | -3.11 % | |
| S2 | 6.70 | -4.32 % | ||
| S3 | 6.56 | -6.29 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 8.00 | 14.29 % | |
| R2 | 7.30 | 4.29 % | ||
| R1 | 7.25 | 3.57 % | ||
| Current price | 7.00 | |||
| Support | S1 | 6.30 | -10.00% | |
| S2 | 5.75 | -17.86% | ||
| S3 | 5.60 | -20.00% |
FAQ
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