LightInTheBox Holding Co Ltd Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Big movements in LightInTheBox Holding Co Ltd stock price on Monday moving 13.86% between high and low
(Updated on Apr 22, 2024)
The LightInTheBox Holding Co Ltd stock price gained 2.52% on the last trading day (Monday, 22nd Apr 2024), rising from $0.750 to $0.769. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 13.86% from a day low at $0.720 to a day high of $0.82. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days but is still up by 8.45% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -47 thousand shares and in total, 18 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $14.18 thousand. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The stock lies the upper part of a very wide and falling trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break up at the top trend line at $0.791 will firstly indicate a slower falling rate, but may be the first sign of a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -32.93% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $0.384 and $0.531 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
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LITB Signals & Forecast
The LightInTheBox Holding Co Ltd stock holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the stock giving a positive forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately $0.783. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the long-term average at approximately $0.767. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Tuesday, April 02, 2024, and so far it has risen 16.50%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. Volume fell during the last trading day while the price increased. This causes a divergence and may be considered as an early warning, but it may not be. The very low volume increases the risk and reduces the other technical signals issued.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for LightInTheBox Holding Co Ltd stock
LightInTheBox Holding Co Ltd finds support from accumulated volume at $0.763 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day, but be aware of low or falling volume as this increases the risk. During the last day, the stock moved $0.0998 between high and low, or 13.86%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 9.78%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $0.744 (-3.26%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 14 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (LITB) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 23rd
For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 23rd we expect LightInTheBox Holding Co Ltd to open at $0.770, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $0.693 and $0.84, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.0761 (+/-9.89%) up or down from last closing price. If LightInTheBox Holding Co Ltd takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 19.78% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $0.763 (0.79%) than the resistance at $0.782 (1.70%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is LightInTheBox Holding Co Ltd stock A Buy?
LightInTheBox Holding Co Ltd holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: -0.217 Hold/Accumulate Upgraded
Predicted Opening Price for LightInTheBox Holding Co Ltd of Tuesday, April 23, 2024
| Fair opening price April 23, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $0.770 ( 0.104%) | $0.769 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for LITB
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 0.87 | 13.08 % | |
| R2 | 0.83 | 8.13 % | ||
| R1 | 0.81 | 5.06 % | ||
| Current price: | 0.769 | |||
| Support | S1 | 0.732 | -4.85 % | |
| S2 | 0.708 | -7.92 % | ||
| S3 | 0.670 | -12.88 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 0.793 | 3.12 % | |
| R2 | 0.787 | 2.37 % | ||
| R1 | 0.782 | 1.70 % | ||
| Current price | 0.769 | |||
| Support | S1 | 0.763 | -0.793% | |
| S2 | 0.712 | -7.44% | ||
| S3 | 0.710 | -7.66% |
FAQ
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