Eli Lilly Stock Forecast
Eli Lilly stock upgraded from Sell Candidate to Hold/Accumulate after Thursday trading session.
(Updated on Apr 18, 2024)
The Eli Lilly stock price fell by -0.642% on the last day (Thursday, 18th Apr 2024) from $750.77 to $745.95. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.13% from a day low at $743.77 to a day high of $752.20. The price has fallen in 7 of the last 10 days and is down by -2.88% for this period. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -1 million shares and in total, 2 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $1.22 billion.
The stock lies in the lower part of a wide and strong rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $737.50 is broken, it will firstly indicate a slower rate of rising, but may also be an early warning for a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 15.97% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $855.29 and $989.12 at the end of this 3-month period.
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LLY Signals & Forecast
There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The Eli Lilly stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $752.49 and $765.65. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, March 04, 2024, and so far it has fallen -5.85%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Eli Lilly stock
Eli Lilly finds support from accumulated volume at $725.38 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the stock moved $8.43 between high and low, or 1.13%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.07%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $703.55 (-5.68%) (This stock has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 32 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (LLY) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 19th
For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 19th we expect Eli Lilly and Company to open at $747.31, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $728.41 and $763.49, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$17.54 (+/-2.35%) up or down from last closing price. If Eli Lilly and Company takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 4.70% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $750.77 (0.65%) than the support at $725.38 (2.76%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Eli Lilly and Company stock A Buy?
Eli Lilly holds several negative signals and this should be a sell candidate, but due to the general chance for a turnaround situation it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: -0.882 Hold/Accumulate Upgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Eli Lilly and Company of Friday, April 19, 2024
Fair opening price April 19, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$747.31 ( 0.182%) | $745.95 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for LLY
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 755.74 | 1.31 % | |
R2 | 752.52 | 0.88 % | ||
R1 | 750.53 | 0.613 % | ||
Current price: | 745.95 | |||
Support | S1 | 744.09 | -0.250 % | |
S2 | 742.10 | -0.516 % | ||
S3 | 738.88 | -0.95 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 782.06 | 4.84 % | |
R2 | 755.66 | 1.30 % | ||
R1 | 750.77 | 0.646 % | ||
Current price | 745.95 | |||
Support | S1 | 725.38 | -2.76% | |
S2 | 706.20 | -5.33% | ||
S3 | 705.03 | -5.49% |
LLY Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Dec 08, 2023 | Feb 15, 2024 | Mar 04, 2024 | $1.30 | 0.164% |
2 | Dec 08, 2023 | Feb 14, 2024 | Mar 08, 2024 | $1.30 | 0.171% |
3 | Nov 01, 2023 | Nov 14, 2023 | Dec 08, 2023 | $1.13 | 0.189% |
4 | Jun 26, 2023 | Aug 14, 2023 | Sep 08, 2023 | $1.13 | 0.193% |
5 | May 01, 2023 | May 12, 2023 | Jun 09, 2023 | $1.13 | 0.253% |
FAQ
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