MGP Ingredients Stock Forecast
Evaluation of MGP Ingredients stock downgraded after the last trading session.
(Updated on Apr 19, 2024)
The MGP Ingredients stock price gained 0.378% on the last trading day (Friday, 19th Apr 2024), rising from $79.45 to $79.75. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.46% from a day low at $78.98 to a day high of $80.92. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -1.36% loss for the last 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 91 thousand more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 271 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $21.65 million.
The stock lies in the middle of a wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -8.22% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $67.17 and $77.37 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
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MGPI Signals & Forecast
A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Friday, April 12, 2024, and so far it has risen 2.77%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The MGP Ingredients stock holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the stock giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $82.41. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the short-term average at $78.50. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD).
A buy signal from a double bottom formation was found on Friday, April 12, 2024 and based on theory for this formation the price should go up by 10.53% to $88.15 within 33 trading days since signal was issued (Monday, April 22, 2024).
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for MGP Ingredients stock
MGP Ingredients finds support from accumulated volume at $78.62 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $1.94 between high and low, or 2.46%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 3.17%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (MGPI) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 22nd
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 22nd we expect MGP Ingredients to open at $79.88, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $77.31 and $82.19, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$2.44 (+/-3.06%) up or down from last closing price. If MGP Ingredients takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 6.11% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $78.62 (1.42%) than the resistance at $83.79 (5.07%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is MGP Ingredients stock A Buy?
MGP Ingredients holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Sell candidate.
Current score: -1.276 Sell Candidate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for MGP Ingredients of Monday, April 22, 2024
| Fair opening price April 22, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $79.88 ( 0.167%) | $79.75 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for MGPI
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 81.82 | 2.60 % | |
| R2 | 81.08 | 1.67 % | ||
| R1 | 80.62 | 1.10 % | ||
| Current price: | 79.75 | |||
| Support | S1 | 79.14 | -0.762 % | |
| S2 | 78.68 | -1.34 % | ||
| S3 | 77.94 | -2.27 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 88.00 | 10.34 % | |
| R2 | 85.18 | 6.81 % | ||
| R1 | 83.79 | 5.07 % | ||
| Current price | 79.75 | |||
| Support | S1 | 78.62 | -1.42% | |
| S2 | 78.18 | -1.97% | ||
| S3 | 77.81 | -2.43% |
MGPI Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mar 14, 2024 | Mar 14, 2024 | Mar 14, 2024 | $0 | 0% |
| 2 | Nov 02, 2023 | Nov 16, 2023 | Dec 01, 2023 | $0.120 | 0.135% |
| 3 | Aug 06, 2023 | Aug 17, 2023 | Sep 01, 2023 | $0.120 | 0.101% |
| 4 | May 04, 2023 | May 18, 2023 | Jun 02, 2023 | $0.120 | 0.119% |
| 5 | May 27, 2023 | Mar 09, 2023 | Mar 24, 2023 | $0.120 | 0.127% |
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