Markel Corporation Stock Forecast
Markel Corporation stock upgraded to Buy Candidate.
(Updated on Apr 18, 2024)
The Markel Corporation stock price gained 0.533% on the last trading day (Thursday, 18th Apr 2024), rising from $1,428.51 to $1,436.13. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.75% from a day low at $1,420.04 to a day high of $1,444.96. The price has fallen in 7 of the last 10 days and is down by -3.62% for this period. Volume fell on the last day by -14 thousand shares and in total, 24 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $34.56 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The stock lies in the lower part of a weak rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $1,424.86 is broken, it will firstly indicate a slower rate of rising, but may also be an early warning for a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 2.47% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $1,460.08 and $1,574.30 at the end of this 3-month period.
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MKL Signals & Forecast
The Markel Corporation stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $1,440.26 and $1,491.25. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some positive signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Tuesday, April 16, 2024, and so far it has risen 0.88%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Markel Corporation stock
Markel Corporation finds support from accumulated volume at $1,418.46 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock is usually traded at a good volume, and with minor daily changes, the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the stock moved $24.92 (1.75%) between high and low. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.64%.
Markel Corporation is oversold on RSI14 (21). Some stocks may drop long and hard while being oversold on RSI before turning, which increases the general risk.
Our recommended stop-loss: $1,353.34 (-5.76%) (This stock has low daily movements and this gives low risk. Low RSI14 is 21 which reduces the risk some. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 2 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (MKL) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 19th
For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 19th we expect Markel Corporation to open at $1,433.71, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $1,411.18 and $1,461.08, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$24.95 (+/-1.74%) up or down from last closing price. If Markel Corporation takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.48% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $1,443.07 (0.48%) than the support at $1,418.46 (1.23%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Earnings coming up
Markel Corporation will release earnings BMO on Wednesday, April 24, 2024.The consensus among the analysts for the expected earnings (EPS) is $18.50. We will update the financials statements for Markel Corporation, that can be found here as soon as the records are public. Our systems has calculated a possible swing of +/- 2.29% in the first trading day after earnings release.
Is Markel Corporation stock A Buy?
Several of the signals/indicators are negative, and we believe that this will affect on the development for the next days and maybe possible weeks. However, over time, we think that today's level holds a possible buying opportunity and that the price will be higher during or at the end of this 3-month period. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Buy candidate.
Current score: 1.405 Buy Candidate Upgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Markel Corporation of Friday, April 19, 2024
| Fair opening price April 19, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $1,433.71 ( 0.169%) | $1,436.13 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for MKL
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 1,458.63 | 1.57 % | |
| R2 | 1,449.11 | 0.90 % | ||
| R1 | 1,443.23 | 0.494 % | ||
| Current price: | 1,436.13 | |||
| Support | S1 | 1,424.19 | -0.83 % | |
| S2 | 1,418.31 | -1.24 % | ||
| S3 | 1,408.79 | -1.90 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 1,492.48 | 3.92 % | |
| R2 | 1,443.85 | 0.538 % | ||
| R1 | 1,443.07 | 0.483 % | ||
| Current price | 1,436.13 | |||
| Support | S1 | 1,418.46 | -1.23% | |
| S2 | 1,412.41 | -1.65% | ||
| S3 | 1,395.13 | -2.85% |
FAQ
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