Natural Alternatives International Stock Forecast
Natural Alternatives International stock price ended at $6.56 on Thursday, after gaining 0.92%.
(Updated on Apr 18, 2024)
The Natural Alternatives International stock price gained 0.92% on the last trading day (Thursday, 18th Apr 2024), rising from $6.50 to $6.56. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.68% from a day low at $6.53 to a day high of $6.64. The price has fallen in 5 of the last 10 days and is down by -1.8% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 1 thousand more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 2 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $12.13 thousand.
The stock lies in the middle of a wide and weak rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 5.36% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $6.10 and $7.29 at the end of this 3-month period.
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NAII Signals & Forecast
The Natural Alternatives International stock holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the stock giving a positive forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately $6.63. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the long-term average at approximately $6.19. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Natural Alternatives International has increased volume and follows the last lift in the price. This is considered to be a technical positive sign as volume should follow the price-formation. The very low volume increases the risk and reduces the other technical signals issued. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, April 03, 2024, and so far it has fallen -4.37%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Natural Alternatives International stock
Natural Alternatives International finds support from accumulated volume at $6.25 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $0.110 between high and low, or 1.68%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.20%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $6.27 (-4.49%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 11 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (NAII) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 19th
For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 19th we expect Natural Alternatives International to open at $6.58, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $6.35 and $6.77, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.208 (+/-3.17%) up or down from last closing price. If Natural Alternatives International takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 6.33% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $6.62 (0.91%) than the support at $6.25 (4.73%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Natural Alternatives International stock A Buy?
Natural Alternatives International holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development.
Current score: 0.966 Hold/Accumulate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for Natural Alternatives International of Friday, April 19, 2024
| Fair opening price April 19, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $6.58 ( 0.254%) | $6.56 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for NAII
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 6.69 | 1.93 % | |
| R2 | 6.64 | 1.29 % | ||
| R1 | 6.62 | 0.89 % | ||
| Current price: | 6.56 | |||
| Support | S1 | 6.53 | -0.386 % | |
| S2 | 6.51 | -0.782 % | ||
| S3 | 6.47 | -1.42 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 6.76 | 3.05 % | |
| R2 | 6.72 | 2.44 % | ||
| R1 | 6.62 | 0.91 % | ||
| Current price | 6.56 | |||
| Support | S1 | 6.25 | -4.73% | |
| S2 | 5.95 | -9.30% | ||
| S3 | 5.71 | -12.96% |
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