National Bank Holdings Corporation Stock Forecast
Weaker technical forecast for National Bank Holdings Corporation as stock downgraded to Sell Candidate.
(Updated on Apr 19, 2024)
The National Bank Holdings Corporation stock price gained 3.56% on the last trading day (Friday, 19th Apr 2024), rising from $32.82 to $33.99. It has now gained 3 days in a row. It will be exciting to see whether it manages to continue gaining or take a minor break for the next few days. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 4.00% from a day low at $32.72 to a day high of $34.03. The price has risen in 7 of the last 10 days but is still down by -1.19% for this period. Volume fell on the last day by -47 thousand shares and in total, 88 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $2.98 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The stock lies in the middle of a wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -3.21% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $31.21 and $34.63 at the end of this 3-month period.
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NBHC Signals & Forecast
There are mixed signals in the stock today. The National Bank Holdings Corporation stock holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the stock giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $34.26. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the short-term average at $33.09. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Tuesday, April 16, 2024, and so far it has risen 5.23%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for National Bank Holdings Corporation stock
National Bank Holdings Corporation finds support from accumulated volume at $33.46 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $1.31 between high and low, or 4.00%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.23%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (NBHC) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 22nd
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 22nd we expect National Bank Holdings Corporation to open at $33.58, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $33.12 and $34.86, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.87 (+/-2.55%) up or down from last closing price. If National Bank Holdings Corporation takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 5.10% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $34.51 (1.53%) than the support at $33.46 (1.56%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Earnings coming up
National Bank Holdings Corporation will release earnings AMC on Wednesday, April 24, 2024.The consensus among the analysts for the expected earnings (EPS) is $0.790. We will update the financials statements for National Bank Holdings Corporation, that can be found here as soon as the records are public. Our systems has calculated a possible swing of +/- 2.71% in the first trading day after earnings release.
Is National Bank Holdings Corporation stock A Buy?
National Bank Holdings Corporation holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Sell candidate.
Current score: -2.716 Sell Candidate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for National Bank Holdings Corporation of Monday, April 22, 2024
Fair opening price April 22, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$33.58 ( 1.21%) | $33.99 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for NBHC
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 34.89 | 2.65 % | |
R2 | 34.39 | 1.18 % | ||
R1 | 34.08 | 0.266 % | ||
Current price: | 33.99 | |||
Support | S1 | 33.08 | -2.68 % | |
S2 | 32.77 | -3.59 % | ||
S3 | 32.27 | -5.06 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 36.88 | 8.50 % | |
R2 | 35.51 | 4.47 % | ||
R1 | 34.51 | 1.53 % | ||
Current price | 33.99 | |||
Support | S1 | 33.46 | -1.56% | |
S2 | 33.44 | -1.62% | ||
S3 | 33.19 | -2.35% |
NBHC Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Jan 18, 2024 | Feb 22, 2024 | Mar 15, 2024 | $0.270 | 0.791% |
2 | Nov 07, 2023 | Nov 22, 2023 | Dec 15, 2023 | $0.270 | 0.721% |
3 | Aug 01, 2023 | Aug 24, 2023 | Sep 15, 2023 | $0.260 | 0.85% |
4 | May 09, 2023 | May 25, 2023 | Jun 15, 2023 | $0.260 | 0.80% |
5 | Jan 19, 2023 | Feb 23, 2023 | Mar 15, 2023 | $0.250 | 0.719% |
FAQ
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