Previous Hold Today NCLH ranks #2513 as HOLD CANDIDATE #2513 Next Hold

NCLH stock forecast Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.

NCLH stock forecast

VOLUME
Sell
TREND
Hold
MV LONG
Buy

MV SHORT
Buy

PIVOT
Buy

MACD
Buy

NCLH Forecast and Technical Stock Analysis


Hold candidate since 2019-09-10 Gain 0.02% PDF

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. gained 0.48% in the last trading day ( Friday, 13th Sep 2019 ), rising from $54.42 to $54.68 During the day the stock fluctuated 2.22% from a day low at $54.54 to a day high of $55.75. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 8.86% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell in the last day by -0.04 million shares and in total, 1.54 million shares bought and sold for approximately $84.23 million. You should take into consideration that a falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes for the next couple of days.

Quick summary:

  • 30 day high of the NCLH stock price was $55.75 and low was $48.54.
  • 90 day high was $55.75 and low was $45.64.
  • 52 week high for Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. - $59.71 and low - $39.36.
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Trend

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. has broken the wide and horizontal trend up. Breaks like this are often followed by swift and strong movements, and any correction down to the breakline at approximately. $53.50 is considered to be a "second chance" to hit a potential runner. It is, however, important that volume does follow the price as false breaks may appear and it may move back into the horizontal trend. Based on the rectangle-formation theory the stock is predicted to reach $61.14 sometime during the next 3 months.

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Signals

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. holds buy signals from both short- and long-term moving averages. In addition, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down there will be some support from the lines at $53.68 and $50.28. A break down below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Tuesday August 27, 2019, which indicates further gains until a new top pivot has been found. Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely.

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Relative Strength Index (RSI)

RSImin/max Values: [ 25 - 75 ]

The stock holds a RSI14 at 83 and is currently being overbought on RSI. This does not have to be a sales signal as many stocks may go both long and hard while being overbought on the RSI. It is therefore important to evaluate the history of the share as it may tell you something about the RSI-sensitiveness.

* Stockinvest.us uses dynamical calculated RSI max/min levels to determine when stock is oversold or overbought based on historical behaviour.

Support & Resistance

On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $49.83 and $48.60.

There is natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. finds support just below today's level at $49.83. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $48.60 and $47.64.

Support: $49.83 Price: $54.68

Risk

This stock is usually traded at a good volume, and with minor daily changes, the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the stock moved $1.21 (2.22%) between high and low. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.32%.

The stock is extremely overbought on RSI14 (83). Normally this will pose a good selling opportunity but since the stock has broken the trend up, the chance for a major correction due to high RSI is very small as the stock will find support at the trend broken.

Our recommended stop-loss: $52.81 (-3.42%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. The RSI14 is 83 and this increases the risk substantially. There is a buy signal from pivot bottom found 12 days ago.)

2.32 %

Average volatility

Overall risk:

Very Low Low Medium High Very High

Hold/Accumulate

Evaluation

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy-recommendation. At the current level, we recommend to hold or accumulate in this position whilst awaiting further development.

Previous Hold Today NCLH ranks #2513 as HOLD CANDIDATE #2513 Next Hold
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Will NCLH stock price go up or down on Tue, 17 Sep 2019?

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