Pebblebrook Hotel Trust Stock Forecast
Pebblebrook Hotel Trust stock downgraded to Hold/Accumulate
(Updated on Apr 17, 2024)
The Pebblebrook Hotel Trust stock price gained 2.35% on the last trading day (Wednesday, 17th Apr 2024), rising from £10.65 to £10.90. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 7.24% from a day low at £10.50 to a day high of £11.26. The price has risen in 5 of the last 10 days and is up by 1.4% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 16 thousand more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 18 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately £196.80 thousand.
The stock lies in the upper part of a wide and strong rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break-up at the top trend line at £11.06 will firstly indicate a stronger rate of rising. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 19.98% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between £11.54 and £13.27 at the end of this 3-month period.
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PEB.L Signals & Forecast
The Pebblebrook Hotel Trust stock holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the stock giving a positive forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately £10.91. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the long-term average at approximately £10.19. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Pebblebrook Hotel Trust has increased volume and follows the last lift in the price. This is considered to be a technical positive sign as volume should follow the price-formation. Higher liquidity also reduces the general risk. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, April 15, 2024, and so far it has fallen -0.91%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Pebblebrook Hotel Trust stock
On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at £10.35 and £10.25. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Pebblebrook Hotel Trust finds support just below today's level at £10.35. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at £10.25 and £10.00.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved £0.760 between high and low, or 7.24%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 3.18%.
Our recommended stop-loss: £10.43 (-4.29%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 2 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (PEB.L) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Thursday 18th
For the upcoming trading day on Thursday, 18th we expect Pebblebrook Hotel Trust to open at £10.89, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between £10.15 and £11.65, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-£0.745 (+/-6.84%) up or down from last closing price. If Pebblebrook Hotel Trust takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 13.67% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at £11.00 (0.90%) than the support at £10.35 (5.05%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Earnings coming up
Pebblebrook Hotel Trust will release earnings BMO on Wednesday, April 24, 2024. We will update the financials statements for Pebblebrook Hotel Trust, that can be found here as soon as the records are public. Our systems has calculated a possible swing of +/- 8.67% in the first trading day after earnings release.
Is Pebblebrook Hotel Trust stock A Buy?
Pebblebrook Hotel Trust holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: 0.726 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Pebblebrook Hotel Trust of Thursday, April 18, 2024
Fair opening price April 18, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
£10.89 ( 0.122%) | £10.90 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for PEB.L
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 11.65 | 6.85 % | |
R2 | 11.36 | 4.19 % | ||
R1 | 11.18 | 2.54 % | ||
Current price: | 10.90 | |||
Support | S1 | 10.60 | -2.79 % | |
S2 | 10.42 | -4.43 % | ||
S3 | 10.13 | -7.09 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 0 | . | |
R2 | 11.00 | 0.92 % | ||
R1 | 11.00 | 0.90 % | ||
Current price | 10.90 | |||
Support | S1 | 10.35 | -5.05% | |
S2 | 10.25 | -5.96% | ||
S3 | 10.00 | -8.26% |
PEB Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Mar 22, 2016 | Jun 23, 2016 | Jul 18, 2016 | £1.50 | 11.88% |
2 | Mar 24, 2015 | Jun 25, 2015 | Jul 17, 2015 | £1.50 | 2.61% |
3 | Mar 28, 2014 | Jun 25, 2014 | Jul 18, 2014 | £1.25 | 2.79% |
4 | Mar 25, 2013 | Jun 26, 2013 | Jul 19, 2013 | £1.25 | 3.60% |
5 | Mar 27, 2012 | Jun 27, 2012 | Jul 20, 2012 | £1.25 | 4.20% |
FAQ
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