Fri 21'st Apr 2017
Real Goods Solar Stock Analysis
Technical stock analysis for Fri 21'st Apr 2017
Sell candidate since 2017-04-18 Loss -3.51%
Real Goods Solar lies in the middle of a very wide and strong falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -43.7% during the next 3 months and, with 90% probability hold a price between USD -0.08 and USD 2.23 at the end of this period.
Volume gained on the last day while the price remained unchanged. This is not a classical divergence, but the stock should be watched more closely at it may be a "turning point". Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. Real Goods Solar holds sales signals from both short- and long-term moving averages. In addition, there is a general sales signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up there will be some resistance from the lines at USD 1.13 and USD 1.32. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sales signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday April 17, 2017, which indicates further falls until a new bottom pivot has been found.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The stock currently holds a RSI14 at 22 and is oversold on RSI14. The stock being oversold is no guarantee for instant reaction up as some stocks may be oversold for a long time. It is important to review the previous RSI-history to get an indication of the RSI-sensitiveness.
Support & Resistance
There is no support from accumulated volume below today's level and given the right condition the stock may perform very badly in the next couple of days. On the upside the stock meets some resistance from accumulated volume at USD 1.32, USD 1.35 and USD 1.28.
This stock may move much during a day (volatility) and with a large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the stock moved USD 0.12 between high and low, or 11.11%. For the last week, the stock has had a daily average volatility of 9.15%.
Real Goods Solar is oversold on RSI14 (22). Some stocks may drop long and hard while being oversold on RSI before turning, which increases the general risk.
Our recommended stoploss: We hold a sell evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss set.
Real Goods Solar holds several negative signals and is within a very wide and strong falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our recommendation for this stock since last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Sell Candidate.