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Fri 23'rd Feb 2018

PERIOD 2017-11-24 - 2018-02-23
CHANGE 1.38%
PRICE $44.05





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Steven Madden Stock Analysis

Technical stock analysis for Fri 23'rd Feb 2018

Shorts 3.99% ( 2018-01-31 )
Cash 605.3 mill
Loans n/a
Beta 0.46
ROA 11.68
Sell candidate since 2018-02-20 Gain 0.92%

Steven Madden gained 1.38% in the last trading day, rising from $43.45 to $44.05 , and has now gained 3 days in a row. It will be exciting to see whether it manages to continue gaining or take a minor break for the next few days. The price has risen in 8 of the last 10 days and is up by 3.77% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell in the last day by -32 464 shares, and in total, 276 145 shares bought and sold for approximately $12.16 million. You should take into consideration that a falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes for the next couple of days.

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Steven Madden lies in the lower part of a wide and weak rising trend in the short term, and this will normally pose a very good buying opportunity. A break down the bottom trend line at $42.70 will firstly indicate a slower raising rate, but may also be a early warning for a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 3.13% during the next 3 months and, with 90% probability hold a price between $44.03 and $51.20 at the end of this period.

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A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Wednesday February 21, 2018, which indicates further gains until a new top pivot has been found. Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. Steven Madden holds a buysignal from the short-term moving average; at the same time, however, a sales signal from the long-term average. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sales signal in the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the long-term moving average at $45.68. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the short-term average at $43.51. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sales signal and strengthen the general signal.

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Relative Strength Index (RSI)

RSI14 is 43 and the stock is currently not being overbought or oversold

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Support & Resistance

Steven Madden finds support from accumulated volume at $43.65. On the upside the stock meets some resistance just above today's level from accumulated volume at $44.15, $46.80 and $47.70.

The stock is about to test the resistance from accumulated volume at $44.15 and this may cause the stock to take a minor break or get into a more sideways move for a few days.

Support: $43.65 Price: $44.05 Resistance: $44.15


This stock is usually traded at good volume, and with minor daily changes the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the stock moved $1.43 (3.27%) between high and low. For the last week, the stock has had a daily average volatility of 3.83%.

Our recommended stoploss: We hold a sell evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss set.

Overall risk:

Very Low Low Medium High Very High


Steven Madden holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock.

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