iShares Silver Trust ETF Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
iShares Silver Trust ETF price ended at $25.86 on Thursday, after gaining 0.0387%.
(Updated on Apr 18, 2024)
The iShares Silver Trust ETF price gained 0.0387% on the last trading day (Thursday, 18th Apr 2024), rising from $25.85 to $25.86. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 1.63% from a day low at $25.74 to a day high of $26.16. The price has risen in 7 of the last 10 days and is up by 5.59% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -19 million shares and in total, 27 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $690.96 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The ETF lies in the middle of a wide and strong rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to rise 26.33% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $29.93 and $33.70 at the end of this 3-month period.
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SLV Signals & Forecast
The iShares Silver Trust ETF holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $25.86 and $23.50. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The ETF should be watched closely. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, April 15, 2024, and so far it has fallen -2.08%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for iShares Silver Trust ETF
iShares Silver Trust finds support from accumulated volume at $25.63 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This ETF has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.420 between high and low, or 1.63%. For the last week, the ETF has had daily average volatility of 3.14%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $24.90 (-3.71%) (This ETF has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 3 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (SLV) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 19th
For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 19th we expect iShares Silver Trust to open at $25.92, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $25.21 and $26.51, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.648 (+/-2.51%) up or down from last closing price. If iShares Silver Trust takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 5.01% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $26.01 (0.58%) than the support at $25.63 (0.89%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is iShares Silver Trust ETF A Buy?
Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for iShares Silver Trust ETF to perform well in the short-term.
Current score: 2.482 Buy Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for iShares Silver Trust of Friday, April 19, 2024
| Fair opening price April 19, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $25.92 ( 0.232%) | $25.86 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for SLV
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 26.34 | 1.86 % | |
| R2 | 26.18 | 1.24 % | ||
| R1 | 26.08 | 0.85 % | ||
| Current price: | 25.86 | |||
| Support | S1 | 25.76 | -0.388 % | |
| S2 | 25.66 | -0.772 % | ||
| S3 | 25.50 | -1.39 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 0 | . | |
| R2 | 26.41 | 2.13 % | ||
| R1 | 26.01 | 0.580 % | ||
| Current price | 25.86 | |||
| Support | S1 | 25.63 | -0.89% | |
| S2 | 24.73 | -4.37% | ||
| S3 | 23.84 | -7.81% |
FAQ
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