Super Micro Computer Stock Forecast
High volatility in Super Micro Computer stock price on Friday which ended trading at $713.65
(Updated on Apr 19, 2024)
Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 51.60% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $1,081.92 and $2,101.08 at the end of this 3-month period.
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SMCI Signals & Forecast
There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The Super Micro Computer stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $899.58 and $999.60. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, March 13, 2024, and so far it has fallen -39.93%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Super Micro Computer stock
Super Micro Computer finds support from accumulated volume at $681.59 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $179.88 between high and low, or 25.30%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 11.00%.
Super Micro Computer is oversold on RSI14 (22). Some stocks may drop long and hard while being oversold on RSI before turning, which increases the general risk.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (SMCI) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 22nd
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 22nd we expect Super Micro Computer to open at $771.81, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $631.16 and $796.14, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$82.49 (+/-11.56%) up or down from last closing price. If Super Micro Computer takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 23.12% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $681.59 (4.49%) than the resistance at $787.57 (10.36%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is Super Micro Computer stock A Buy?
The Super Micro Computer stock holds several negative signals and despite the positive trend, we believe Super Micro Computer will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. Therefore, we hold a negative evaluation of this stock.
Current score: -3.125 Sell Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for Super Micro Computer of Monday, April 22, 2024
Fair opening price April 22, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$771.81 ( 8.15%) | $713.65 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for SMCI
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 951.69 | 33.36 % | |
R2 | 882.98 | 23.73 % | ||
R1 | 840.52 | 17.78 % | ||
Current price: | 713.65 | |||
Support | S1 | 703.10 | -1.48 % | |
S2 | 660.64 | -7.43 % | ||
S3 | 591.93 | -17.06 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 880.55 | 23.39 % | |
R2 | 803.32 | 12.56 % | ||
R1 | 787.57 | 10.36 % | ||
Current price | 713.65 | |||
Support | S1 | 681.59 | -4.49% | |
S2 | 663.35 | -7.05% | ||
S3 | 583.50 | -18.24% |
FAQ
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