VanEck Vectors Semiconductor ETF Forecast
Green day on Thursday for VanEck Vectors Semiconductor
(Updated on Mar 28, 2024)
The VanEck Vectors Semiconductor ETF price gained 0.0445% on the last trading day (Thursday, 28th Mar 2024), rising from $224.89 to $224.99. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 0.98% from a day low at $223.74 to a day high of $225.94. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a 2.52% gain for the last 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -4 million shares and in total, 4 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $842.12 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The ETF lies in the lower part of a wide and strong rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $224.10 is broken, it will firstly indicate a slower rate of rising, but may also be an early warning for a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to rise 34.92% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $302.37 and $337.43 at the end of this 3-month period.
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SMH Signals & Forecast
A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Thursday, March 07, 2024, and so far it has fallen -3.92%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some positive signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The VanEck Vectors Semiconductor ETF holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the ETF giving a positive forecast for the stock. On further gains, the ETF will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately $225.31. On a fall, the ETF will find some support from the long-term average at approximately $215.41. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The ETF should be watched closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for VanEck Vectors Semiconductor ETF
VanEck Vectors Semiconductor finds support from accumulated volume at $220.98 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This ETF is usually traded at a good volume, and with minor daily changes, the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the ETF moved $2.20 (0.98%) between high and low. For the last week, the ETF has had daily average volatility of 1.84%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $216.23 (-3.89%) (This ETF has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 15 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (SMH) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 1st
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 1st we expect VanEck Vectors Semiconductor ETF to open at $224.89, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $219.35 and $230.63, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$5.64 (+/-2.50%) up or down from last closing price. If VanEck Vectors Semiconductor ETF takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 5.01% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $226.31 (0.59%) than the support at $220.98 (1.78%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is VanEck Vectors Semiconductor ETF ETF A Buy?
Several of the signals/indicators are negative, and we believe that this will affect on the development for the next days and maybe possible weeks. However, over time, we think that today's level holds a possible buying opportunity and that the price will be higher during or at the end of this 3-month period.
Current score: 3.389 Buy Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for VanEck Vectors Semiconductor ETF of Monday, April 1, 2024
Fair opening price April 1, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$224.89 ( 0.0444%) | $224.99 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for SMH
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 227.09 | 0.93 % | |
R2 | 226.25 | 0.560 % | ||
R1 | 225.73 | 0.329 % | ||
Current price: | 224.99 | |||
Support | S1 | 224.05 | -0.418 % | |
S2 | 223.53 | -0.649 % | ||
S3 | 222.69 | -1.02 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 234.17 | 4.08 % | |
R2 | 226.35 | 0.604 % | ||
R1 | 226.31 | 0.587 % | ||
Current price | 224.99 | |||
Support | S1 | 220.98 | -1.78% | |
S2 | 192.37 | -14.50% | ||
S3 | 187.18 | -16.81% |
SMH Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Dec 15, 2023 | Dec 18, 2023 | Dec 22, 2023 | $1.04 | 0.602% |
2 | Dec 16, 2022 | Dec 19, 2022 | Dec 23, 2022 | $2.40 | 2.36% |
3 | Dec 17, 2021 | Dec 20, 2021 | Dec 27, 2021 | $1.57 | 0.99% |
4 | Dec 18, 2020 | Dec 21, 2020 | Dec 28, 2020 | $1.50 | 1.40% |
5 | Jan 16, 2019 | Dec 23, 2019 | Dec 30, 2019 | $2.12 | 3.01% |
FAQ
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