Source Capital Inc Stock Forecast
Source Capital Inc stock downgraded to Hold/Accumulate
(Updated on Apr 24, 2024)
The Source Capital Inc stock price fell by -0.0237% on the last day (Wednesday, 24th Apr 2024) from $41.80 to $41.79. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 0.86% from a day low at $41.49 to a day high of $41.85. The price has fallen in 5 of the last 10 days but is still up by 0.07% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 4 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 5 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $216.05 thousand.
The stock lies in the middle of a narrow and weak rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 4.63% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $43.12 and $45.28 at the end of this 3-month period.
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SOR Signals & Forecast
There are mixed signals in the stock today. The Source Capital Inc stock holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the stock giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $41.89. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the short-term average at $41.48. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Source Capital Inc gained volume on the last day, but on falling prices. In technical terms, this is called divergence and may be an early warning. In some cases, increasing volume on falling prices may be considered positive, but that is mainly in typical "sell-offs". A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Wednesday, April 17, 2024, and so far it has risen 1.78%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Source Capital Inc stock
Source Capital Inc finds support from accumulated volume at $41.00 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the stock moved $0.358 between high and low, or 0.86%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 0.82%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $39.88 (-4.57%) (This stock has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 5 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (SOR) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Thursday 25th
For the upcoming trading day on Thursday, 25th we expect Source Capital Inc to open at $41.71, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $41.31 and $42.27, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.484 (+/-1.16%) up or down from last closing price. If Source Capital Inc takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.32% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $41.85 (0.14%) than the support at $41.00 (1.89%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Source Capital Inc stock A Buy?
Source Capital Inc holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: 0.611 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Source Capital Inc of Thursday, April 25, 2024
Fair opening price April 25, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$41.71 ( 0.193%) | $41.79 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for SOR
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 42.07 | 0.662 % | |
R2 | 41.93 | 0.335 % | ||
R1 | 41.85 | 0.134 % | ||
Current price: | 41.79 | |||
Support | S1 | 41.57 | -0.520 % | |
S2 | 41.49 | -0.722 % | ||
S3 | 41.35 | -1.05 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 42.49 | 1.68 % | |
R2 | 41.96 | 0.407 % | ||
R1 | 41.85 | 0.144 % | ||
Current price | 41.79 | |||
Support | S1 | 41.00 | -1.89% | |
S2 | 40.50 | -3.09% | ||
S3 | 40.28 | -3.61% |
SOR Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Jan 26, 2024 | May 15, 2024 | May 31, 2024 | $0.208 | 0.498% |
2 | Jan 25, 2024 | Apr 17, 2024 | Apr 30, 2024 | $0.208 | 0.498% |
3 | Jan 23, 2024 | Mar 14, 2024 | Mar 28, 2024 | $0.208 | 0.490% |
4 | Dec 07, 2023 | Feb 15, 2024 | Feb 29, 2024 | $0.208 | 0.507% |
5 | Jan 16, 2024 | Jan 16, 2024 | Jan 31, 2024 | $0.208 | 0.521% |
FAQ
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