1st Source Corporation Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Green day on Friday for 1st Source Corporation
(Updated on Apr 19, 2024)
The 1st Source Corporation stock price gained 4.27% on the last trading day (Friday, 19th Apr 2024), rising from $47.96 to $50.01. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 4.90% from a day low at $47.72 to a day high of $50.06. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -0.64% loss for the last 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 55 thousand more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 104 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $5.19 million.
The stock lies in the middle of a wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -6.04% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $43.96 and $48.50 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
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SRCE Signals & Forecast
A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Wednesday, April 17, 2024, and so far it has risen 4.71%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The 1st Source Corporation stock holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the stock giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $50.13. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the short-term average at $48.42. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD).
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for 1st Source Corporation stock
1st Source Corporation finds support from accumulated volume at $49.73 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $2.34 between high and low, or 4.90%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.15%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (SRCE) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 22nd
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 22nd we expect 1st Source Corporation to open at $49.26, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $48.88 and $51.14, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$1.13 (+/-2.26%) up or down from last closing price. If 1st Source Corporation takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 4.52% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $49.73 (0.56%) than the resistance at $50.80 (1.58%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Earnings coming up
1st Source Corporation will release earnings AMC on Thursday, April 25, 2024.The consensus among the analysts for the expected earnings (EPS) is $1.17. We will update the financials statements for 1st Source Corporation, that can be found here as soon as the records are public. Our systems has calculated a possible swing of +/- 2.67% in the first trading day after earnings release.
Is 1st Source Corporation stock A Buy?
1st Source Corporation holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this stock.
Current score: -1.384 Sell Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for 1st Source Corporation of Monday, April 22, 2024
| Fair opening price April 22, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $49.26 ( 1.49%) | $50.01 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for SRCE
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 51.60 | 3.19 % | |
| R2 | 50.71 | 1.40 % | ||
| R1 | 50.16 | 0.294 % | ||
| Current price: | 50.01 | |||
| Support | S1 | 48.37 | -3.28 % | |
| S2 | 47.82 | -4.38 % | ||
| S3 | 46.92 | -6.17 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 52.27 | 4.52 % | |
| R2 | 51.01 | 2.00 % | ||
| R1 | 50.80 | 1.58 % | ||
| Current price | 50.01 | |||
| Support | S1 | 49.73 | -0.560% | |
| S2 | 49.19 | -1.64% | ||
| S3 | 48.69 | -2.64% |
SRCE Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jan 18, 2024 | Feb 02, 2024 | Feb 15, 2024 | $0.340 | 0.655% |
| 2 | Oct 19, 2023 | Nov 03, 2023 | Nov 15, 2023 | $0.340 | 0.679% |
| 3 | Jul 20, 2023 | Jul 31, 2023 | Aug 11, 2023 | $0.320 | 0.671% |
| 4 | Apr 19, 2023 | May 01, 2023 | Aug 11, 2023 | $0.320 | 0.671% |
| 5 | Jan 19, 2023 | Feb 03, 2023 | Feb 16, 2023 | $0.320 | 0.645% |
FAQ
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