TCFC stock forecast The Community Financial Corporation

TCFC stock forecast





TCFC Forecast and Technical Stock Analysis

Buy candidate since 2019-08-16

The Community Financial Corporation gained 0.98% in the last trading day ( Friday, 16th Aug 2019 ), rising from $31.69 to $32.00 During the day the stock fluctuated 2.24% from a day low at $31.30 to a day high of $32.00. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 0.34% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell in the last day by -989 shares and in total, 4 503 shares bought and sold for approximately $144 096.00. You should take into consideration that a falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes for the next couple of days.

Quick summary:

  • 30 day high of the TCFC stock price was $33.40 and low was $30.61.
  • 90 day high was $34.15 and low was $29.80.
  • 52 week high for The Community Financial Corporation - $34.73 and low - $26.47.
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The Community Financial Corporation lies in the lower part of a wide and weak rising trend in the short term, and this will normally pose a very good buying opportunity. A break down the bottom trend line at $31.40 will firstly indicate a slower raising rate, but may also be a early warning for a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 4% during the next 3 months and, with 90% probability hold a price between $32.66 and $36.16 at the end of this period.

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A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Thursday August 15, 2019, which indicates further gains until a new top pivot has been found. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Community Financial Corporation holds a buy signal from the short-term moving average; at the same time, however, a sales signal from the long-term average. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sales signal in the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the long-term moving average at $32.51. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the short-term average at $31.91. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sales signal and strengthen the general signal. Volume fell during the last trading day while the price increased. This causes a divergence and may be considered as an early warning, but it may also not.

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A buy signal from a double bottom formation was found on Thursday August 15, 2019 and based on theory for this formation the price should go up by 0.77% to $32.37 within 7 trading days since signal was issued (Monday August 26, 2019).

Relative Strength Index (RSI)

RSImin/max Values: [ 25 - 75 ]

RSI14 is 46 and the stock is currently not being overbought or oversold

* uses dynamical calculated RSI max/min levels to determine when stock is oversold or overbought based on historical behaviour.

Support & Resistance

The Community Financial Corporation finds support from accumulated volume at $31.77.

Support: $31.77 Price: $32.00 Resistance: $32.15


In general the stock tends to have controlled movements, but the low liquidity has increased the risk substantially.

Our recommended stop-loss: $30.29 (-5.34%) (This stock has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a buy signal from pivot bottom found 1 days ago.)

1.63 %

Average volatility

Overall risk:

Very Low Low Medium High Very High

Buy Candidate Upgraded


Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for this stock to perform well in the short-term. We have upgraded our recommendation for this stock since last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Buy Candidate.

Will TCFC stock price go up or down on Mon, 19 Aug 2019?

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