Monday December 09, 2019 Change -0.06% Price $34.00
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TCFC Forecast and Technical Stock Analysis

Buy candidate since 2019-12-05 Loss -1.25% PDF

The Community Financial Corporation fell by -0.06% in the last day ( Monday, 9th Dec 2019 ) from $34.02 to $34.00 and has now fallen 3 days in a row. During the day the stock fluctuated 1.46% from a day low at $33.90 to a day high of $34.40. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days , but is still down by -1.11% for this period. Volume fell in the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. In the last day the trading volume fell by -2 538 shares and in total 4 063 shares bought and sold for approximately $138 142.00.

Quick summary:

  • 30 day high of the TCFC stock price was $34.80 and low was $33.69.
  • 90 day high was $34.80 and low was $30.60.
  • 52 week high for The Community Financial Corporation - $34.80 and low - $26.47.
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The Community Financial Corporation lies in the middle of a weak rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 8.1% during the next 3 months and, with 90% probability hold a price between $36.14 and $38.42 at the end of this period.

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The Community Financial Corporation holds a sales signal from the short-term moving average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the short-term moving average at approximately $34.34. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the long-term average at approximately $33.87. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sales signal. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sales signal was issued from a pivot top point on Tuesday December 03, 2019, which indicates further falls until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume fell along with the price during the last trading day, which is technical positive. One should, however, note that this stock may have low liquidity in periods, which increases the general risk.

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A sell signal from a double top formation was found on Tuesday December 03, 2019 and based on theory for this formation the price should fall by -0.54% to $33.90 within 12 trading days since signal was issued (Thursday December 19, 2019).

Relative Strength Index (RSI)

RSImin/max Values: [ 25 - 75 ]

RSI14 is 55 and the stock is currently not being overbought or oversold

* uses dynamical calculated RSI max/min levels to determine when stock is oversold or overbought based on historical behaviour.

Support & Resistance

The Community Financial Corporation finds support from accumulated volume at $33.23.

Support: $33.23 Price: $34.00 Resistance: $34.13


In general the stock tends to have controlled movements, but the low liquidity has increased the risk substantially.

Our recommended stop-loss: $32.46 (-4.52%) (This stock has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a sell signal from pivot top found 4 day(s) ago.)

1.93 %

Average volatility

Overall risk:

Very Low Low Medium High Very High

Buy Candidate Upgraded


Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for this stock to perform well in the short-term.

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