Thermon Group Holdings Inc Stock Forecast
Thermon Group Holdings Inc stock downgraded to Strong Sell Candidate
(Updated on Apr 18, 2024)
The Thermon Group Holdings Inc stock price fell by -0.437% on the last day (Thursday, 18th Apr 2024) from $29.78 to $29.65. It has now fallen 5 days in a row. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.33% from a day low at $29.56 to a day high of $30.25. The price has fallen in 8 of the last 10 days and is down by -9.52% for this period. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -4 thousand shares and in total, 196 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $5.81 million.
The stock lies in the middle of a very wide and weak rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 9.09% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $29.43 and $36.98 at the end of this 3-month period.
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THR Signals & Forecast
There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The Thermon Group Holdings Inc stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $30.58 and $30.32. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, April 03, 2024, and so far it has fallen -11.23%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Thermon Group Holdings Inc stock
On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $26.92 and $25.04. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Thermon Group Holdings Inc finds support just below today's level at $26.92. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $25.04 and $24.61.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $0.690 between high and low, or 2.33%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.88%.
Thermon Group Holdings Inc is oversold on RSI14 (19). Some stocks may drop long and hard while being oversold on RSI before turning, which increases the general risk.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (THR) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 19th
For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 19th we expect Thermon Group Holdings Inc to open at $29.82, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $28.80 and $30.50, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.85 (+/-2.87%) up or down from last closing price. If Thermon Group Holdings Inc takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 5.73% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $29.78 (0.44%) than the support at $26.92 (9.21%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Thermon Group Holdings Inc stock A Buy?
The Thermon Group Holdings Inc stock holds several negative signals and despite the positive trend, we believe Thermon Group Holdings Inc will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. Therefore, we hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Strong Sell candidate.
Current score: -5.009 Strong Sell Candidate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Thermon Group Holdings Inc of Friday, April 19, 2024
| Fair opening price April 19, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $29.82 ( 0.573%) | $29.65 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for THR
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 30.51 | 2.90 % | |
| R2 | 30.25 | 2.01 % | ||
| R1 | 30.08 | 1.46 % | ||
| Current price: | 29.65 | |||
| Support | S1 | 29.56 | -0.316 % | |
| S2 | 29.39 | -0.86 % | ||
| S3 | 29.13 | -1.75 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 32.78 | 10.56 % | |
| R2 | 31.57 | 6.48 % | ||
| R1 | 29.78 | 0.438 % | ||
| Current price | 29.65 | |||
| Support | S1 | 26.92 | -9.21% | |
| S2 | 25.04 | -15.55% | ||
| S3 | 24.61 | -17.00% |
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