Exchanges: NASDAQ | NYSE | XLON | AMS | ADS | TSE | BRU
Wednesday June 19, 2019 Change -1.33% Price $37.15
Chart period: 2019-03-20 - 2019-06-19
VOLUME
Buy
TREND
Hold
MV LONG
Sell

MV SHORT
Sell

PIVOT
Sell

MACD
Buy

Will TOL stock price go up or down on Thu, 20 Jun 2019?

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Toll Brothers Inc Forecast and Stock Analysis

Technical TOL stock analysis for Wednesday June 19, 2019.

Sell candidate since 2019-06-19


Toll Brothers Inc fell by -1.33% in the last day ( Wednesday, 19th Jun 2019 ) from $37.65 to $37.15 During day the stock fluctuated 3.97% from a day low at $36.28 to a day high of $37.72. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a 1.81% gain for the last 2 weeks. Volume has increased in the last day by 0.43 million shares, but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly for the next couple of days. In total, 1.63 million shares bought and sold for approximately $60.54 million.

Quick summary:

  • 30 day high of the TOL stock price was $38.85 and low was $34.55.
  • 90 day high was $39.58 and low was $34.55.
  • 52 week high for the Toll Brothers Inc - $39.80 and low - $28.68.

Trend

Given the current horizontal trend you can expect Toll Brothers Inc with 90% probability to be traded between $34.93 and $39.46 at the end of this period with 90% probability. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and stocks seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the roof. Stocks turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.

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Signals

There are few to none technical positive signals at the moment. Toll Brothers Inc holds sales signals from both short- and long-term moving averages. On corrections up there will be some resistance from the lines at $37.38 and $37.30. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sales signal was issued from a pivot top point on Friday June 14, 2019, which indicates further falls until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.

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Relative Strength Index (RSI)

RSI14 is 62 and the stock is currently not being overbought or oversold

Access full RSI 14 and RSI 21 lists

Support & Resistance

Toll Brothers Inc finds support from accumulated volume at $36.60.

Support: $36.60 Price: $37.15 Resistance: $37.16

Risk

This stock is usually traded at good volume, and with minor daily changes the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the stock moved $1.44 (3.97%) between high and low. For the last week, the stock has had a daily average volatility of 3.01%.

Our recommended stoploss: We hold a sell evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss set.

3.01 %

Average volatility

Overall risk:

Very Low Low Medium High Very High

Evaluation:

Toll Brothers Inc holds several negative signals and is within a wide and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our recommendation for this stock since last evaluation from a Buy Candidate to a Sell Candidate.

Sell Candidate Downgraded
Stronger Sell Today TOL ranks #4234 as SELL CANDIDATE #4234 Weaker Sell

Will TOL stock price go up or down on Thu, 20 Jun 2019?

Predict

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