TRI Pointe Group Inc Stock Forecast
TRI Pointe Group Inc stock upgraded from Sell Candidate to Buy Candidate after Thursday trading session.
(Updated on Apr 18, 2024)
The TRI Pointe Group Inc stock price gained 0.319% on the last trading day (Thursday, 18th Apr 2024), rising from $34.51 to $34.62. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.43% from a day low at $34.61 to a day high of $35.45. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -6.28% for this period. Volume fell on the last day by -55 thousand shares and in total, 1 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $35.64 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The stock lies in the lower part of a wide and weak rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $34.54 is broken, it will firstly indicate a slower rate of rising, but may also be an early warning for a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 4.98% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $36.26 and $41.02 at the end of this 3-month period.
Ready to grow your portfolio? Here's your beginner's guide to opening a free brokerage account.
TPH Signals & Forecast
The TRI Pointe Group Inc stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $35.46 and $35.80. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some positive signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Wednesday, April 17, 2024, and so far it has risen 0.319%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for TRI Pointe Group Inc stock
TRI Pointe Group Inc finds support from accumulated volume at $34.22 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $0.84 between high and low, or 2.43%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.39%.
TRI Pointe Group Inc is oversold on RSI14 (24). Some stocks may drop long and hard while being oversold on RSI before turning, which increases the general risk.
Our recommended stop-loss: $32.58 (-5.90%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. Low RSI14 is 24 which reduces the risk some. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 1 day ago.)
Trading Expectations (TPH) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 19th
For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 19th we expect TRI Pointe Group Inc to open at $34.89, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $33.64 and $35.60, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.98 (+/-2.84%) up or down from last closing price. If TRI Pointe Group Inc takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 5.67% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $34.78 (0.46%) than the support at $34.22 (1.16%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Earnings coming up
TRI Pointe Group Inc will release earnings BMO on Thursday, April 25, 2024.The consensus among the analysts for the expected earnings (EPS) is $0.690. We will update the financials statements for TRI Pointe Group Inc, that can be found here as soon as the records are public. Our systems has calculated a possible swing of +/- 6.28% in the first trading day after earnings release.
Is TRI Pointe Group Inc stock A Buy?
Several of the signals/indicators are negative, and we believe that this will affect on the development for the next days and maybe possible weeks. However, over time, we think that today's level holds a possible buying opportunity and that the price will be higher during or at the end of this 3-month period. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Buy candidate.
Current score: 1.639 Buy Candidate Upgraded
Predicted Opening Price for TRI Pointe Group Inc of Friday, April 19, 2024
| Fair opening price April 19, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $34.89 ( 0.790%) | $34.62 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for TPH
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 35.73 | 3.22 % | |
| R2 | 35.41 | 2.29 % | ||
| R1 | 35.21 | 1.72 % | ||
| Current price: | 34.62 | |||
| Support | S1 | 34.57 | -0.137 % | |
| S2 | 34.37 | -0.710 % | ||
| S3 | 34.05 | -1.64 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 34.98 | 1.04 % | |
| R2 | 34.81 | 0.549 % | ||
| R1 | 34.78 | 0.462 % | ||
| Current price | 34.62 | |||
| Support | S1 | 34.22 | -1.16% | |
| S2 | 34.19 | -1.24% | ||
| S3 | 33.61 | -2.92% |
FAQ
Click here for our free guide on how to buy TRI Pointe Group Inc Stock.
