Texas Pacific Land Trust Forecast and Stock Analysis
Technical TPL stock analysis for February 15, 2019.
|Shorts||0.87% ( 2019-01-31 )|
Texas Pacific Land Trust gained 1.86% in the last trading day, rising from $740.00 to $753.75 , and has now gained 5 days in a row. It will be exciting to see whether it manages to continue gaining or take a minor break for the next few days. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 7.08% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased in the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 10 144 more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 25 711 shares bought and sold for approximately $19.38 million.
Close price at the end of the last trading day (Friday, 15th Feb 2019) of the TPL stock was $753.75. This is 1.86% more than the trading day before Thursday, 14th Feb 2019.
During day the stock fluctuated 1.98% from a day low at $740.00 to a day high of $754.66.
30 day high of the TPL stock price was $754.66 and low was $610.17.
90 day high was $754.66 and low was $409.00.
52 week high for the Texas Pacific Land Trust - $877.97 and low - $409.00.
Texas Pacific Land Trust lies in the upper part of a very wide and strong rising trend in the short term, and this will normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break-up at the top trend line at $768.87 will firstly indicate a stronger raising rate. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 33.39% during the next 3 months and, with 90% probability hold a price between $734.55 and $1 025.60 at the end of this period.
Only positive signals in the chart today. Texas Pacific Land Trust holds buy signals from both short- and long-term moving averages. In addition, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down there will be some support from the lines at $718.08 and $648.91. A break down below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Monday February 11, 2019, which indicates further gains until a new top pivot has been found. Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The stock holds a RSI14 at 78 and is currently being overbought on RSI. This does not have to be a sales signal as many stocks may go both long and hard while being overbought on the RSI. It is therefore important to evaluate the history of the share as it may tell you something about the RSI-sensitiveness.
Support & Resistance
On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $615.01 and $609.82.
There is natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Texas Pacific Land Trust finds support just below today's level at $615.01. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $609.82 and $566.32.
This stock may move much during a day (volatility) and with a large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the stock moved $14.66 between high and low, or 1.98%. For the last week, the stock has had a daily average volatility of 3.06%.
The stock is overbought on RSI14 and lies in the upper part of the trend. Normally this will pose a good selling opportunity for the short-term trader, but some stocks may go long and hard while being overbought. Regardless, the high RSI together with the trend position increases the risk and higher daily movements (volatility) should be expected. A correction down in the nearby future seems very likely and it is of great importance that the stock manages to break the trend before that occurs.
Our recommended stoploss: $723.07 (-4.07%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. The RSI14 is 78 and this increases the risk substantially. There is a buy signal from pivot bottom found 4 days ago.)
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Evaluation: Strong Buy Candidate
Texas Pacific Land Trust holds several positive signals and is within a strong rising trend. As the old saying says, "Let the trend be your friend.'". We therefore consider it to be a good choice at these current levels and we are expecting further gains during the next 3 months.