Trex Company Inc Forecast and Stock Analysis
Technical TREX stock analysis for April 24, 2019.
|Shorts||4.00% ( 2019-03-29 )|
Trex Company Inc gained 0.80% in the last trading day, rising from $76.54 to $77.15 , and has now gained 3 days in a row. It will be exciting to see whether it manages to continue gaining or take a minor break for the next few days. The price has risen in 7 of the last 10 days and is up by 11.25% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased in the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 32 440 more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 529 954 shares bought and sold for approximately $40.89 million.
Close price at the end of the last trading day (Wednesday, 24th Apr 2019) of the TREX stock was $77.15. This is 0.8% more than the trading day before Tuesday, 23rd Apr 2019.
During day the stock fluctuated 2.04% from a day low at $75.99 to a day high of $77.54.
30 day high of the TREX stock price was $77.54 and low was $58.96.
90 day high was $79.38 and low was $58.96.
52 week high for the Trex Company Inc - $129.75 and low - $50.88.
Trex Company Inc has broken the very wide and falling short-term trend up. Firstly a slower falling rate is indicated, but this may very well be an early signal of a trend shift. On the reaction there will be support on the roof on the current trend broken, which is $76.93, a level that may pose a second chance to hit a runner. According to fan-theory $94.93 will be the next possible trendtop level and thereby pose a resistance level which may not be broken on the first attempt.
Only positive signals in the chart today. Trex Company Inc holds buy signals from both short- and long-term moving averages. In addition, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down there will be some support from the lines at $76.06 and $69.69. A break down below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Wednesday March 27, 2019, which indicates further gains until a new top pivot has been found. Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
RSI14 is 85 and the stock is extremely overbought on RSI14, but may also ontinue to gain. Some stocks see their best performance while being overbought, but very seldom does RSI remain so high for a long time without short corrections. Risk has therefore increased and larger daily movements can be expected for the next couple of days.
Support & Resistance
On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $63.22 and $61.52.
There is natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Trex Company Inc finds support just below today's level at $63.22. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $61.52 and $59.51.
This stock may move much during a day (volatility) and with a large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the stock moved $1.55 between high and low, or 2.04%. For the last week, the stock has had a daily average volatility of 2.37%.
The stock is extremely overbought on RSI14 (85). Normally this will pose a good selling opportunity, but since the stock has broken the trend up the chance for a major correction due to high RSI is very small as the stock will find support at the trend broken.
Our recommended stoploss: $72.80 (-5.64%) (This stock has high daily movements and this gives high risk. The RSI14 is 85 and this increases the risk substantially. There is a buy signal from pivot bottom found 19 days ago.)
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Evaluation: Buy Candidate
Several short-term signals are positive and the break-up from the falling trend indicates a possible shift for a trend. We believe that the prices around the breaking point will indicate particularly good levels, but we also believe that the current level will hold a possible good buy level for the short-term period. We have upgraded our recommendation for this stock since last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Buy Candidate.
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|TREX $77.15 ($0.61 0.80%)|
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