TRMT Forecast and Technical Stock Analysis

Buy candidate since 2019-09-13 Loss -1.28% PDF

Tremont Mortgage Trust fell by -1.28% in the last day ( Monday, 16th Sep 2019 ) from $4.70 to $4.64 and has now fallen 3 days in a row. During the day the stock fluctuated 3.71% from a day low at $4.58 to a day high of $4.75. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a 7.66% gain for the last 2 weeks. Volume has increased in the last day by 25 982 shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly for the next couple of days. In total, 35 827 shares bought and sold for approximately $166 237.00.

Quick summary:

  • 30 day high of the TRMT stock price was $4.84 and low was $4.22.
  • 90 day high was $5.20 and low was $3.87.
  • 52 week high for Tremont Mortgage Trust - $12.00 and low - $3.87.
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Tremont Mortgage Trust lies in the middle of a very wide and strong rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 10.79% during the next 3 months and, with 90% probability hold a price between $4.84 and $6.07 at the end of this period.

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Tremont Mortgage Trust holds buy signals from both short- and long-term moving averages. In addition, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down there will be some support from the lines at $4.63 and $4.54. A break down below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sales signal was issued from a pivot top point on Tuesday September 10, 2019, which indicates further falls until a new bottom pivot has been found. Tremont Mortgage Trust gained volume on the last day, but on falling prices. In technical terms, this is called divergence and may be an early warning. In some cases, increasing volume on falling prices may be considered positive, but that is mainly in typical "sell-offs".

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A buy signal from a double bottom formation was found on Friday September 06, 2019 and based on theory for this formation the price should go up by 0.35% to $4.65 within 6 trading days since signal was issued (Monday September 16, 2019).

Relative Strength Index (RSI)

RSImin/max Values: [ 25 - 75 ]

RSI14 is 58 and the stock is currently not being overbought or oversold

* Stockinvest.us uses dynamical calculated RSI max/min levels to determine when stock is oversold or overbought based on historical behaviour.

Support & Resistance

On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $4.40 and $4.08.

There is natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Tremont Mortgage Trust finds support just below today's level at $4.40. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $4.08 and $4.06.

Support: $4.40 Price: $4.64 Resistance: $4.70


This stock is usually traded at a good volume, and with minor daily changes, the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the stock moved $0.17 (3.71%) between high and low. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 4.71%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $4.46 (-3.88%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a sell signal from pivot top found 4 day(s) ago.)

4.71 %

Average volatility

Overall risk:

Very Low Low Medium High Very High

Buy Candidate Downgraded


Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for this stock to perform well in the short-term.

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