The Travelers Companies Inc Stock Forecast
The Travelers Companies Inc stock upgraded from Sell Candidate to Hold/Accumulate after Thursday trading session.
(Updated on Apr 18, 2024)
The The Travelers Companies Inc stock price gained 1.86% on the last trading day (Thursday, 18th Apr 2024), rising from $206.58 to $210.42. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.19% from a day low at $207.24 to a day high of $211.77. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -7.91% loss for the last 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -4 million shares and in total, 2 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $417.49 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The stock lies in the lower part of a wide and weak rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $206.80 is broken, it will firstly indicate a slower rate of rising, but may also be an early warning for a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 6.20% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $219.62 and $247.30 at the end of this 3-month period.
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TRV Signals & Forecast
A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Wednesday, April 17, 2024, and so far it has risen 1.86%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The The Travelers Companies Inc stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $218.15 and $222.82. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD).
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for The Travelers Companies Inc stock
The Travelers Companies Inc finds support from accumulated volume at $206.58 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock is usually traded at a good volume, and with minor daily changes, the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the stock moved $4.53 (2.19%) between high and low. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.02%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $199.32 (-5.27%) (This stock has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 1 day ago.)
Trading Expectations (TRV) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 19th
For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 19th we expect The Travelers Companies Inc to open at $209.81, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $205.85 and $214.99, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$4.57 (+/-2.17%) up or down from last closing price. If The Travelers Companies Inc takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 4.34% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $210.98 (0.27%) than the support at $206.58 (1.82%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is The Travelers Companies Inc stock A Buy?
The Travelers Companies Inc holds several negative signals and this should be a sell candidate, but due to the general chance for a turnaround situation it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: -0.169 Hold/Accumulate Upgraded
Predicted Opening Price for The Travelers Companies Inc of Friday, April 19, 2024
| Fair opening price April 19, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $209.81 ( 0.290%) | $210.42 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for TRV
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 214.34 | 1.86 % | |
| R2 | 212.61 | 1.04 % | ||
| R1 | 211.54 | 0.532 % | ||
| Current price: | 210.42 | |||
| Support | S1 | 208.08 | -1.11 % | |
| S2 | 207.01 | -1.62 % | ||
| S3 | 205.28 | -2.44 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 220.96 | 5.01 % | |
| R2 | 211.67 | 0.594 % | ||
| R1 | 210.98 | 0.266 % | ||
| Current price | 210.42 | |||
| Support | S1 | 206.58 | -1.82% | |
| S2 | 0 | . | ||
| S3 | 0 | . |
TRV Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jan 19, 2024 | Mar 07, 2024 | Mar 29, 2024 | $1.00 | 0.435% |
| 2 | Oct 18, 2023 | Dec 07, 2023 | Dec 29, 2023 | $1.00 | 0.525% |
| 3 | Jul 20, 2023 | Sep 07, 2023 | Sep 29, 2023 | $1.00 | 0.612% |
| 4 | Apr 19, 2023 | Jun 08, 2023 | Sep 29, 2023 | $1.00 | 0.612% |
| 5 | Jan 24, 2023 | Mar 09, 2023 | Mar 31, 2023 | $0.93 | 0.543% |
FAQ
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