Ultrapar Participacoes SA Stock Forecast

Red day on Thursday for Ultrapar Participacoes SA
(Updated on Apr 18, 2024)

UGP Signals & Forecast

There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The Ultrapar Participacoes SA stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $5.25 and $5.64. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, February 21, 2024, and so far it has fallen -19.75%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Ultrapar Participacoes SA stock

There is no support from accumulated volume below today's level and given the right condition the stock may perform very badly in the next couple of days.

This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $0.145 between high and low, or 2.89%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.66%.

Ultrapar Participacoes SA is oversold on RSI14 (22). Some stocks may drop long and hard while being oversold on RSI before turning, which increases the general risk.

Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.

Trading Expectations (UGP) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 19th

For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 19th we expect Ultrapar Participacoes SA to open at $5.09, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $4.93 and $5.23, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.153 (+/-3.01%) up or down from last closing price. If Ultrapar Participacoes SA takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 6.01% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

With no support below and resistance from accumulated volume @ $5.58, some $0.500 (9.84%) from the current price of $5.08, our system finds the risk reward not very attractive.

Is Ultrapar Participacoes SA stock A Buy?

Ultrapar Participacoes SA holds several negative signals and is within a wide and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock.

Current score: -4.360 Sell Candidate Unchanged

Predicted Opening Price for Ultrapar Participacoes SA of Friday, April 19, 2024

The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.